Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs Predictions

Rarely do we get the two best teams squaring off in a conference championship game. The SEC not only gives us that but also two of the top teams in the country when the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide go at it on Saturday night. The winner gets an invite to the College Football Playoff and assuredly the No. 1 seed.

The CFP has never had a 2-loss team though Bama could be first should it lose. There is a little more wiggle room for the Dawgs, who completed a perfect regular season with a 45-0 blanking of rival Georgia Tech on Saturday. UGA’s top ranked defense pitched its third shutout of the season and will attempt to shut down the Tide’s elite offense.

The Week 14 college football game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

The Week 14 college football game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide +6 | Georgia Bulldogs -6 [BET NOW]

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs Over/Under

Over/Under 50 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Just how dominant has Alabama been over the past few years? They haven’t played as an underdog since the 2015 season when they were catching 1-point in a road game against … Georgia. The Tide rolled to a 38-10 victory in that game. They opened as a 6.5-point dog for this one with the number wagered down a half-point. And it’s been a struggle for the Tide in their last three SEC games beating LSU, Arkansas and Auburn by a single score when favored by more than 20 points in each contest. Overall Bama is 11-1 SU and 6-6 ATS.

This is Georgia’s best chance at breaking a 6-game losing streak in the series. The Dawgs were shredded in a 41-24 loss last season but now they have the nation’s best defense along with a potent offense that has them as one of only two undefeated FBS teams. They haven’t allowed more than 17 points in a game this season and outscore opponents by an average of nearly 34 points. Oddsmakers anticipate another strong defensive game with the total hitting the board at 50, the smallest in a Bama game this season.

Alabama Crimson Tide

While they’ve continued to win games, the Tide haven’t been the dominant force we’ve seen in the past. After scoring more than 30 points in each of their first seven games they’ve been held in the 20s twice in the last four. And it’s not like they played Georgia-type defenses in those games. They got by LSU 20-14 in Week 8 and overcame a 10-point fourth quarter deficit to get by Auburn 24-22 in overtime on Saturday. Those games were against teams that aren’t close to having the defense Georgia has, so there should be some concerns in Tuscaloosa this week.

The biggest issue facing Nick Saban is his offensive line. Starting center Darrian Dalcourt left the Iron Bowl with a bum ankle and the staff was forced to shuffle bodies. Bryce Young was sacked seven times and the offense ran 17 plays that netted zero or negative yards. The good news is that the group came alive late scoring a game-tying touchdown in the final minute before winning in the fourth OT session. But if Young doesn’t get better protection and the line can’t open holes for Brian Robinson Jr., the group that averages nearly 492 yards and 42.7 points could be left out of the playoff picture.

Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia has been the most complete team all season and with a chance to run the table, beat Alabama, and earn the No. 1 playoff seed they aren’t about to let up. All the talk has been about the defense, and deservedly so. The group hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game and has three shutouts. That’s hard to do in today’s fast-paced, up-tempo offensive game. Call the Dawgs a throwback to the golden days of football, but they win and win big. They’ve outscored opponents by 405 points on the year. UGA concedes an average of only 6.9 points, which has allowed the UNDER to cash in six of their previous eight games.

Not many know that Georgia has the nation’s sixth highest scoring team. Yep, that’s right, the Dawgs average 40.7 points and churn out over 442 yards per game. They also have a top QB tandem with Stetson Bennett and J.T. Daniels running the show. According to the old saying if you have two QBs you have none. The Dawgs have put that to rest. They actually have two QBs and they’re pretty good. Injuries forced Daniels out of his spot as QB1 with Bennett stepping in flawlessly to keep the unit humming.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs -6 and UNDER 50

Alabama vs Georgia Prediction

I’m not about to throw the towel in on Saban’s team. He’s too good of a coach and the Tide are too good of a team. But they have shown cracks in the worst spots against UGA’s defense. Bama’s line has to step up on Saturday or it could be a long day for Young. He hasn’t faced a defense this good, but Georgia hasn’t faced an offense as deep and talented as Alabama’s. I still like the D and with Bama struggling in its last few outings against Conference foes, I have to back the Dawgs in this one.

Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs -6 and UNDER 50

View NCAAF Week 14 betting odds.