Best Picture Oscar: Betting Sites Say “La La Land”

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The 89th Academy Awards will be handed out to filmmakers and actors on February 26. Without further ado, here are the top contenders in our 2017 Oscars predictions for this year, along with our picks on who will take home the golden statue.

Odds are courtesy of online betting site Bookmaker.eu.

Best Picture Oscar

Oscars Betting Odds: Best Picture
“La La Land.” (Lionsgate)

Best Picture Odds to Win:

La La Land -138
Loving +700
Manchester By The Sea +800
Silence +800
The Birth of a Nation +800
Moonlight +900
Fences +1000
Hacksaw Ridge +1000
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk +1100
Lion +1600
Arrival +2000
Noctunal Animals +2000
20th Century Women +2500
American Pastoral  +3300
Hidden Figures +3300
Maggie’s Plan +3300
Snowden +3300
Sully +3300
The Girl on the Train +4000
The Jungle Book +4000
Allied +5000
Passengers +5000
The Lobster +5000
Bleed For This +6600
Denial +6600
Hell or High Water +6600
Miss Sloane +6600
Paterson +6600

Our Prediction:

The Academy loves films about its own industry. That’s why we’re betting on La La Land. Emma Stone plays a struggling actress, whose relationship with her jazz pianist boyfriend (played by Ryan Gosling) becomes strained when his career begins to overtake hers.

It’s one of the few feel-good movies on this list, which Oscar voters tend to like as well.

Bookmaker.eu has the musical as its Oscar favorite, with odds of -138. You would need to bet $138 to win $100.

But don’t count out Lion. It’s being released by The Weinstein Company and the Weinstein brothers have upset the Oscars in the past.


Best Director

Best Director Oscars Odds
Damien Chazelle. (Lionsgate)

Odds to Win Best Director:

Damien Chazelle (La La Land) -150
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester By The Sea) +275
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight) +600
Denzel Washington (Fences) +1100
Martin Scorsese (Silence) +1200
Ang Lee (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk) +2000
Jeff Nichols (Loving) +2000
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival) +2500
Garth Davis (Lion) +2500
Pablo Larrain (Jackie) +3300
Clint Eastwood (Sully) +5000
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge) +5000
Morten Tyldum (Passengers) +5000
Theodore Melfi (Hidden Figures) +5000
Andrea Arnold (American Honey) +6600
Ewan McGregor (American Pastoral) +10000

Our Prediction:

We’re going with Damien Chazelle for La La Land because the movie that wins best picture also often takes home the director honor. But as we get closer to Oscar time, if the buzz for another movie increases in the best picture category, this will change.


Best Actor

Best Actor Oscars Odds
Casey Affleck in “Manchester By The Sea.” (Amazon)

Best Actor Odds to Win:

Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea) +150
Denzel Washington (Fences) +188
Ryan Gosling (La La Land) +600
Joel Edgerton (Loving) +700
Andrew Garfield (Silence) +1200
Tom Hanks (Sully) +1400
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge) +2000
Michael Keaton (The Founder) +2000
Jake Gyllenhaal (Nocturnal Animals) +2500
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic) +3300
Warren Beatty (Rules Don’t Apply) + 3300
Nate Parker (The Birth of  Nation) +4000
Matthew McConaughey (Gold) +5000

Our Prediction:

Casey Affleck gives the best performance of the year, hands down. It’s still early, but it’s hard to see anyone taking the prize from him.


Best Actress

Best Actress Oscars Odds
Natalie Portman in “Jackie.” (Fox Searchlight/YouTube)

Best Actress Odds to Win:

Emma Stone (La La Land) +125
Natalie Portman (Jackie) +175
Annette Bening (20th Century Women) +400
Ruth Negga (Loving) +600
Amy Adams (Arrival) +900
Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures) +1400
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane) +2000
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins) +2000
Isabelle Huppert (Elle) +3300
Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals) +4000
Emily Blunt (Girl on the Train) +5000
Jennifer Connelly (American Pastoral) +5000
Jennifer Lawrence (Passengers) +5000
Marion Cotillard (Allied) +5000

Our Prediction:

Natalie Portman. This is going to be the category you’ll have to watch this year, as the worthy contenders could change in the Oscars betting odds.

Ever since La La Land premiered in Venice, leading lady Emma Stone has been the hot favorite to take home the Oscar. She even won the Film Festival’s Volpi Cup for Best Actress. But right now it’s all about Portman – some critics say it is her best performance ever. Honestly, it could be any of these ladies.


Best Supporting Actor

Oscar Odds Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges, left, in “Hell or High Water.” (CBS Films)

Best Supporting Actor Odds to Win:

Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) +175
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea) +300
Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals) +450
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water) +550
Dev Patel (Lion) +800
Liam Neeson (Silence) +800
Hugh Grant (Florence Foster Jenkins) +1600
Stephen Henderson (Fences) +3300
Jovan Adepo (Fences) +5000
Timothy Spall (Denial) +6600
Aaron Eckhart (Bleed for This) +8000
Kevin Costner (Hidden Figures) +8000
Jeremy Renner (Arrival) +10000

Our Prediction:

This is another tough category to handicap. We’re betting on Jeff Bridges. He has the edge at the moment. It’s really one of his best performances in a while.

Some good underdog bets include Liam Neeson for Silence at +800 and Hugh Grant is a possibility for his role in Florence Foster Jenkins at a juicy +1600, and Michael Shannon in Nocturnal Animals at +450.


Best Supporting Actress

Naomi Harris Oscars Odds Best Supporting Actress
Naomi Harris in “Moonlight.” (A24)

Best Supporting Actress Odds to Win:

Viola Davis (Fences) -200
Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea) +250
Naomie Harris (Moonlight) +275
Nicole Kidman (Lion) +700
Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) +2000
Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures) +2000
Felicity Jones (A Monster Calls) +3300
Aja Naomi King (The Birth of a Nation) +10000
Elle Fanning (20th Century Women) +10000
Lupita Nyong’o (Queen of Katwe) +10000

Our Prediction:

Naomie Harris should get her the win for her heart-wrenching performance. But watch out for Viola Davis, currently favored by bookmakers at -200.

Another contender is Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea). She has been tipped for her fourth Oscar nomination (having previously been nominated for Brokeback Mountain, Blue Valentine and My Week with Marilyn). She plays Randi in Manchester by the Sea. Her estranged husband returns to their home town with his nephew after the sudden death of his brother.

 For more entertainment odds, follow our entertainment betting section

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