While the New York Yankees aren’t out of the AL East race, they have a lot of catching up to do. A disastrous first half saw the Bombers enter the All-Star break just three games over .500 and eight games behind the Boston Red Sox in the standings.
A lot of teams would take that record, but the Yankees were a preseason World Series favorite and have looked nothing like it. Instead it’s the Red Sox on top having won an AL-high tying 55 games at the unofficial midway point of the season. And they’ve beaten up on the Yanks winning all six games between the rivals so far.
When and Where to Watch the Game
First pitch for this AL East match up between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees is scheduled for Thursday, July 15, 2021, at 7 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. The matchup will air live on ESPN.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Odds
ML: Red Sox +160 | Yankees -188 [BET NOW]
RL: Red Sox +1.5 -126 | Yankees -1.5 +105 [BET NOW]
Total: 8.5 [BET NOW]
Red Sox vs Yankees Odds Analysis
It’s one of the best rivalries in baseball and the opener of this four-game set stands alone on the schedule as the only game on Thursday. The All-Star break came at a good time for the Sox, who lost the last two games and four of five before the hiatus. That mini slump prevented them from having the best record in the AL and also closed the gap in the division.
The Tampa Bay Rays are lurking just 1.5 games behind. It’s been a surprising first half for the Sox and some of their success is by way of New York. Boston dropped nine of 10 games to the Yankees last season but has turned things around in 2021. The Sox posted their second three-game sweep of the Bombers a few weeks ago and have outscored New York 36-17.
The Yankees can wipe away the misery of their first half with a good showing this weekend. They could also get right back in the division race. They will have to overcome a heartbreaking loss on Sunday, though. With a chance to close the first half on a positive note, the Yankees were three outs away from sweeping the Astros and entering the break as winners in six of their last seven games. Instead, another late-inning collapse left Aaron Boone scratching his head.
New York led 7-2 entering the bottom of the ninth only to give up six runs. And closer Aroldis Chapman didn’t even take the mound. Chapman’s struggles are only part of the Yankees problems. He’s allowed nine earned runs over 2.1 innings of his last four appearances turning a once reliable bullpen into a liability. And while they picked things up offensively they still rank in the bottom half in runs per game and homers with the UNDER going 47-40-2.
The Red Sox will open the second half with Yankee killer Eduardo Rodriguez (6-5, 5.52 ERA) on the bump. His last two starts pretty much summed up his season so far. Two starts ago the lefty gave up just one hit in six shutout innings. He followed that by surrendering nine hits and four earned over 5.0 innings. When he’s good Rodriguez is really good. When he’s bad he stinks up the joint. The Sox are hoping for more good outings during the second half of the season.
You don’t often see a pitcher with an ERA as high as Rodriguez’s post a winning record, but thanks to one of the top offenses in MLB that’s what we have. The Sox are 11-6 in games started by Rodriguez with the OVER at 10-6-1 in those games. Seven times the Sox scored at least seven runs, including twice against the Yankees with ERod on the hill. He took a ND in his first start allowing three runs and five hits over 5.1 innings and got a win a few weeks back holding the Bombers to two earned runs on five hits with eight Ks across 6.0 innings on June 27.
The Yankees have not named a starter, but if he doesn’t pitch in the All-Star game there’s a good chance we see Gerrit Cole (9-4, 2.68 ERA) toe the rubber in the opener. It makes sense in a lot of ways for New York. First, the ace will have the required amount of rest between starts. And second, the Yanks need this game and have a better chance with Cole than any other starter. After a few rough outings where he gave up nine earned runs over 8.1 innings, Cole bounced back in his last start with a masterpiece against his former club.
Cole went the distance throwing 129 pitches in a 4-0 win over the Astros on Saturday. He allowed just three hits and fanned 12. One of those bad starts come in Boston a few weeks ago when he was touched for eight hits, including three homers, and five earned runs in 5.0 innings. The Yankees lost that game 9-2 and they are just 9-9 in games Cole stared. If Cole does pitch in the All-Star game the rotation is a mess leaving Jordan Montgomery as a possible option.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
Our pick: New York Yankees -188 and OVER 8.5
The Yankees need to make a statement right out of the break and they need to do it against the division leaders. They have yet to beat the Red Sox and they looked awful in defeat. New York looked better offensively over the last month and Rodriguez hasn’t exactly shut them down. They can get to the BoSox lefty and with a strong performance from Cole or whoever takes the mound the Yanks will break the spell.
Check out all the available MLB odds.