Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Odds & Predictions

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At the onset of the season, the Yankees were the understandable MLB betting odds favorite to win the American League East. Instead, the Bronx Bombers are nowhere to be found.  The defending American League champion Tampa Bay Rays remain in the thick of the race. 

While the Rays continue to surprise many gamblers, they shouldn’t after three consecutive playoff seasons.  Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox are an even bigger surprise, following a 2020 campaign that was over before it even began.  Yet gamblers keep wondering if the Red Sox can hang on the rest of the way with their weak starting pitching.  Tampa Bay hosts Boston Sunday night. 

This American League East matchup will occur on Sunday, August 1, 2021, at 7:08 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field, Tampa, Florida, with live television coverage on ESPN. 

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (August 1) Odds

ML:  Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays [BET NOW]

RL:  Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays [BET NOW]

Total:  [BET NOW]

Season So Far…

There won’t be much difference in betting value concerns for gamblers and oddsmakers on Sunday night.  The betting action is going to split right down the middle for both teams.  Boston is a name brand with a generational fan base.  As a result, the Red Sox draw a lot of casual money.  Tampa Bay attracts smart money.  Wise Guys love the Rays for their consistency and tremendous value.  Also, sharps love the fact that the Rays are not popular with the masses. 

Although Wise Guys admire Tampa Bay, they are also fully aware of the fact that the Red Sox are exceeding expectations both on the diamond and at the cashier’s cage.  Nobody saw Boston as a serious threat for the American League East title. 

Boston got the money in five of their previous seven games. At the same time, the Red Sox went under the total in eight of their last ten matchups.  Boston is 62-39 straight up, 52-48 vs. the run line, and 42-53-5 under the number.  In turn, the Red Sox are 30-19 straight up, 28-20 vs. the run line, and 19-26-3 under the total on the road.  MLB metrics show the Red Sox 4th for run production and 13th for earned run average.  Boston’s bullpen ranks a stellar 7th for ERA.

Boston Third baseman Rafael Devers continues to power the Red Sox.  To show, Devers has 27 home runs, 87 runs batted in, and a 0.935 OPS. 

The Rays got the cash in six of their last nine games. In comparison, four of their most recent six outings stayed under the total.  Tampa Bay is 60-40 straight up, 55-44 vs. the run line, and 53-43-3 over the number.  At home, the Rays are 30-18 straight up, 23-24 vs. the run line, and 22-24-1 under the total.  MLB metrics show Boston 6th for run production and 8th for earned run average.  Tampa Bay ranks second in MLB for bullpen ERA. 

Probable Pitchers

Right-hander Nick Pivetta is the probable starter for the Red Sox.  So far, Pivetta is 8-4 with a 4.51 earned run average and 1.337 WHIP.  Boston got the money in four of his most recent five starts.

Right-hander Nick Pivetta is the probable starter for the Red Sox.  So far, Pivetta is 8-4 with a 4.51 earned run average and 1.337 WHIP.

Closer Matt Barnes is 5-2 with a 2.36 ERA, 0.833 WHIP, and 22 saves in 25 opportunities.  Late on, the Red Sox paid in six of his previous seven outings. 

Left-hander Shane McClanahan is the probable Rays starter.  Thus far, McClanahan is 4-3 with a 3.88 earned run average and 1.246 WHIP.  Tampa Bay won three of his most recent four appearances. 

Closer Diego Castillo is 2-4 with a 2.73 earned run average, 0.991 WHIP, and 14 wins and 16 chances.  Fashion, the Rays, won six of his last seven appearances. 

Boston is the pick Sunday night. 

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction (August 1)

Overall, Boston is 5-2 in their most recent seven games with Tampa Bay.  The Red Sox and Rays are 10-2 over the baseball betting total in their last 12 meetings.  Tampa Bay is 8-5 in their previous 13 home games with Boston.  While the Red Sox and Rays are 5-1 to the over at Tampa Bay

In this situation, Boston combines ability and good price for exceptional MLB gambling value.  The Red Sox are the one team that matches the Rays for betting value.  And Boston is better than what the masses expect.  Boston is the pick Sunday night. 

Check out the latest MLB odds.