Well, we finally had a close game in the NBA Finals with the Milwaukee Bucks knotting the series at 2-2 with a come-from-behind 109-103 win over the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. It was the first time a game had been decided by fewer than 10 points, though the Bucks got the cover to make the home team 4-0 SU and ATS in the series.
We’re now down to a three-game series with the Suns fighting all season to get homecourt advantage. They’ll try to regroup after matching their longest losing streak since January. Keeping in line with what we’ve seen all series, the Suns hit the board as a 4-point favorite.
Game 5 of the NBA Finals takes place on Saturday, July 17, 2021 and will air live on ABC with tip off at 9 p.m. ET from Phoenix Suns Arena.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Game 5 Odds
Spread: Bucks +4 | Suns -4 [BET NOW]
Money Line: Bucks +145 | Suns -165 [BET NOW]
Total: 218 [BET NOW]
Series to Date
The Bucks held serve on their home floor to even the series and must win at least one game on the road win their first title since 1971. They came up large on the road when it mattered clinching each of the first three series away from home, but they are just 5-6 SU and ATS on the road this postseason. They have to feel good about their game heading back to the desert. Following a pair of double digit losses in Phoenix to start the series, the Bucks responded at home. They had a 20-point blowout in Game 3 and rallied from a late deficit to win on Wednesday.
Giannis Antetokounmpo had his string of 40-point games stopped, but Khris Middleton kept the team streak alive scoring a season-high 40. Giannis added 26 points and 14 rebounds along with a key defensive play late in the fourth quarter. In the last two games the Bucks showed they could win a blowout and persevere in a close game. Now they need to win on the road.
The Suns played better on Wednesday than they did in Game 3. Still, it wasn’t good enough and they find themselves on the ropes heading home for Game 5. The good news is that the home team has won and covered in all four games. Phoenix posted a pair of double digit victories to open the Finals and they’ll need Chris Paul to find his game. Hounded by Jrue Holiday for most of the night Paul had a tough time holding onto the basketball.
He committed five turnovers and has 15 giveaways in the last three games. And he scored only 10 points on 5 of 13 shooting. It was a performance that even Devin Booker couldn’t make up for. Booker responded to his worst playoff game by scoring 42 points. The best players need to be the best players and that wasn’t the case in Milwaukee.
The Bucks played like crap for most of Wednesday’s game yet they were able to turn things around in the fourth quarter. That probably won’t work on the road so they need to have a more consistent effort from the outset. Giannis was kept in check scoring 26 points after notching over 40 in the previous two games. Milwaukee’s role players were better than Phoenix’s with Middleton having a big game and Brook Lopez scoring 14 points.
Getting more from Holiday will certainly improve the chances for a road win. Holiday was 4 of 20 from the field and missed all five three-pointers. He did play stellar defense while adding seven rebounds and seven assists, though. “I think this is kind of a mental toughness win for us. I thought Jrue made several winning plays late,” Mike Budenholzer said.
After four games both teams are very familiar with each other and now it’s about self-scouting. The Suns rarely faced the kind of adversity they’re staring at having lost two games in a row. The skid matched their second longest of the entire season. For Paul it’s about finding a way to play around blanket coverage and take better care of the basketball. Booker needs to keep his game somewhere between the last two and Ayton has to be a force in the middle against the bigger Bucks.
The Suns worked all season to earn home court advantage and now’s the time to make it pay off. They are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their gym this postseason and they looked unstoppable in the first two games. They will need contributions from everyone unlike Wednesday when Booker was the only source of offense in the second half.
Bucks vs Suns Game 5 Predictions
Our picks: Phoenix Suns -4 and UNDER 218
We finally had a close game and I have a feeling we’re in for more the rest of the way. As much as I liked how Milwaukee played the last two games, the Suns will be motivated by the home crowd. And they’ll make the necessary adjustments to emerge victorious in Game 5.
Check out all available Bucks vs Suns Game 5 odds.