Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Bucs Predictions | NFL Week 14

After a frustrating loss on Monday night to New England that dropped them further behind in the AFC East standings, the Buffalo Bills have little time to sulk with a Sunday matchup against Tom Brady and the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Just when the Bills thought they’d seen the last of Brady, who eviscerated just about every division opponent while a member of the Pats, he shows up at an inopportune time.

The Bills continued their inconsistent play on offense and have totaled just 31 points in their past three losses. And Brady is licking his chops at the prospect of facing the Bills. During his time in New England he was 32-3 against the Bills. The Bucs hit the board as a 3.5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.

This Week 14 NFL regular season game between the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take place at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 12, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

This Week 14 NFL regular season game between the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take place at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 12, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Bucs Odds

Buffalo Bills +3.5 | Tampa Bay Bucs -3.5 [BET NOW]

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Bucs Over/Under

Over/Under 52.5 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Once the betting favorite to emerge from the AFC and win the Super Bowl, the Bills have fallen on difficult times. They haven’t won consecutive games since early October going 3-4 SU and 2-4-1 ATS since beating the Chiefs in Week 5. For the first time since the Chiefs game and just the second time this season the Bills are catching points. They opened as a 3.5-point dog with the number holding steady through the early betting stages.

The good news is the Bills have won two straight on the road outscoring opponents 76-23. The bad news is those teams were the Jets and beat up Saints. Tampa entered its bye on a positive with three straight wins and payouts. This will be the first game where the Bucs aren’t a double-digit home favorite. They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at Raymond James this season.

Buffalo Bills

If you keep up with trends there is a positive one for the Bills. They’ve alternated wins and losses over the past eight games and since last week was a loss it stands that they are in for a victory. Only if it were that easy, right? First off the Bills have a short week and travel for this late Sunday meeting. And the Bucs are coming off their bye so they should be rested. That means Buffalo has to play with more intensity and a sense of urgency since the postseason isn’t guaranteed.

As it stands entering Week 14 the Bills hold a slim lead for the seventh and final playoff spot. They are one win up on five teams with the Colts having the same number of victories with one more defeat. Indy takes its bye this week and will be big Bucs fans. We can’t blame the failures on the defense. Buffalo allowed just 241 total yards on Monday night and held the Pats to 2 of 12 on third down. The Bills held five of their past six opponents to 17 points or less and they lead the NFL in fewest points allowed and total defense.

The Bills have been wildly inconsistent on offense this season leading to their mixed results. Things were going smoothly until the Week 9 shocker in Jacksonville where they failed to score a touchdown and lost 9-6. They scored 31 points total in their last three defeats while averaging 34 points in their last three wins.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Right at this time last season the Bucs entered their bye having lost two straight. They emerged from the off week with a different mindset, beat the Vikings in Week 14 and ran the table all the way to a Super Bowl title. Circumstances are a bit different this year. The Bucs won their final three games ahead of the bye scoring at least 30 points in each game and going 3-0 ATS. The downtime should rejuvenate Brady, who needs a little extra rest at his advanced age.

That hasn’t prevented Brady from putting up MVP-type numbers, though. He leads the NFL with 3,771 passing yards and 34 touchdowns with his 104.0 rating fifth-best. He faces a stiff test against the No. 1 ranked pass defense. The Bills were helped in that category by the Pats last week. New England attempted just three passes the entire game and totaled 19 yards.

Teams have been able to run on the Bills. The Titans did it and so did the Colts. And the Pats dominated in the trenches grinding out 222 yards on 46 carries. The Bucs don’t run the ball that often with their 263 attempts the second-fewest in the NFL. Still, it would be worth it to attempt a few more carries with Leonard Fournette in the backfield.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 and UNDER 52.5

Bills vs Buccaneers Predictions

Both clubs are solid defensively, which has me leaning toward the UNDER. And Brady has owned the Bills during his career winning 32 of his 35 starts against them. I like the Bills, but Josh Allen has been inconsistent and they’ve had trouble against the stronger teams in the league.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 and UNDER 52.5

View NFL Week 14 betting lines.