It’s already been a big year for female jockeys with Rachael Blackmore winning the leading jockey award at the Cheltenham Festival, before becoming the first woman to win the Grand National, guiding Minella Times to victory at Aintree. While Blackmore is writing history over the jumps, Hollie Doyle continues to go from strength to strength on the flat. But can the 24-year-old come out on top in the Flat Jockey’s Championship in 2021?
Doyle hit the headlines in 2019 when she broke the record for the most winners ridden in a season (UK) by a female jockey. A year later she finished fourth in the Jockeys’ Championship, the best-ever result by a woman in the history of the sport. She also rode five winners in one afternoon at Windsor racecourse in 2020. Her achievements grabbed the attention of the British public and earned her third place in the BBC’s Sports Personality of the Year award, behind F1 driver Lewis Hamilton and soccer star Jordan Henderson.
Hollie’s preparation for the current Championship began in style with a 135/1 (+13500) four-timer at Leicester at the end of April. That performance laid down an early marker ahead of the championship season, which gets into full swing in May. She has made it clear that she is aiming for the top spot in 2021, but faces tough competition from the likes of Oisin Murphy, Tom Marquand, William Buick, and Ben Curtis. The 2021 Flat Jockeys’ Championship begins at Newmarket on May 1, and concludes at Ascot on October 16.
Predicting the Winners
Predicting champion jockeys and winning horses is much easier if you have the right strategy and tools the job. If you do not have the time to keep your own race form and statistics database to help shape your strategy, there are now plenty of websites and betting systems that can aid you in your quest. There are even artificial intelligence platforms such as the Beth prediction tool that use smart algorithms to provide real-time predictions. The numbers are based on mathematical probability to lock in the best prices, improve your performance, and minimize your risks.
What the Sportsbooks Say
So, what are Doyle’s chances of landing the top flat jockey award in 2021? Well, first she will have to beat her partner Tom Marquand, who is also gunning for the title. However, before the action began, bookmakers had priced her as third favorite at 9/2 (+450), ahead of Marquand but behind Curtis, Buick, and favorite Murphy 9/4 (+225). Doyle will need to improve her win percentage by around 4% in 2021 to equal her rivals but her progress in 2020 suggests she is only going to keep improving.
Hollie Doyle is first woman in British racing to ride five winners in a day https://t.co/jJGpQB7FYa— The Guardian (@guardian) August 29, 2020
Hollie Doyle had already landed 60 winners in 2021 before the Championship had even began, including another five-timer at Kempton, and is currently the leading jockey in the annual list. It is maybe not a question of whether Doyle can win the Championship, but more a question of who can stop her.
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