Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Predictions

Justin Fields couldn’t heal fast enough for the Chicago Bears. After a four-interception outing from Andy Dalton in last week’s loss to Arizona, Chicago’s sixth in its last seven games, Fields is expected back in the lineup for the Sunday Night Football showdown with NFC North rival Green Bay Packers.

Green Bay is coming off its bye and is poised to make a run at the top seed in the conference. They are getting healthy and face a team they’ve owned recently winning five straight and 10 of the previous 11 meetings. The Packers won the earlier matchup 24-14 back in Week 6, covering the 5.5-point spread. The line has more than doubled for this contest with the Pack positioned as a 12.5-point favorite.

The Week 14 Sunday Night Football game between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers will take place at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI at 8:20 p.m. ET on December 12 and will be televised on NBC.

The Week 14 Sunday Night Football game between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers will take place at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI at 8:20 p.m. ET on December 12 and will be televised on NBC.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Odds

Chicago Bears +12.5 | Green Bay Packers -12.5 [BET NOW]

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Over/Under

Over/Under 43 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

I’m not sure Fields is going to make that much of a difference. The betting public doesn’t think so wagering the Packers to a 12.5-point favorite, the highest on the Week 14 betting board, after they opened it the board at -11.5. Chicago is in a major tailspin right now having lost six of their last seven games while going 1-6 ATS. They did score 22 points last week, their third highest output of the season, to cash the OVER.

The Bears are inept offensively scoring 20 points or less in eight games allowing the UNDER to go 8-4. Green Bay entered its bye on a positive note taking down the Rams 36-28 in Week 12. They are just 2-2 SU in their last four games but remained in a good spot thanks to a seven-game winning streak. And the Pack is a gold mine at the betting window going 10-2 ATS this season. The total hit the board at 43, which would be the lowest in any Green Bay games this season.

Chicago Bears

Some will question if this is a rivalry since it’s been so one-sided recently. The Bears will attempt to change the narrative, but they aren’t getting a lot of support. Chicago is catching 12.5 points and should the line hold it would be first double-digit spread in the series in a decade. The Bears closed as a 13-point road dog on Christmas day 2011 and failed to cover in a 35-21 loss.

The team is responsible for all the issues surrounding it. They had a good start to the season and were 3-2 following a Week 5 win in Las Vegas. The slide started the following week with a 10-point home loss to Green Bay. Chicago has just one victory since taking down the Raiders and that came against Detroit on Thanksgiving with a last second field goal. The return of Fields is reason for optimism, but the reality is he hasn’t been a difference-maker in this offense. He’s completing just 58 percent of his passes and has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns. He’s also been sacked 31 times.

Fields may end up being the QB of the future, but the present has a lot thorns. The Bears have the NFL’s worst pass offense averaging just 173.8 yards and they rank 30th in total yards and scoring with 16.8 points per game. And I don’t think they’re going to bust out against a decent Packers stop unit.

Green Bay Packers

I say this quite often but in the case of the Packers it’s true: the bye came at a good time. Aaron Rodgers was limited in practice due to his “COVID” toe, so the down time will certainly help him. It also gave guys like David Bakhtiari, Za’Darius Smith and Jaire Alexander extra time to heal for the stretch run. And they weren’t bad without those players going 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS leading into the bye. Their 36-28 win over the Rams in Week 12.

Rodgers has put together another strong season with 2,878 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. He’s thrown just two interceptions in his last 10 games after opening the season with a pair of picks in the loss to New Orleans. And let’s not forget what he’s done against the Bears over his career. He started every game during Green Bay’s winning current five-game winning streak in the series throwing 12 touchdown passes without an interception.

The defense will get a boost with the return of Smith and Alexander and it couldn’t come at a better time. The group faltered allowing 62 points in the last two games going OVER the total in both. In the previous seven they allowed an average of 13.9 points cashing the UNDER each time.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers -12.5 and OVER 43

Bears vs Packers Predictions

In no scenario do I see the Bears winning. And that’s why the games are played on the field and not in my head. Chicago should get a boost with the return of Fields, but he did have a cracked rib and that’s gotta sting. The offense is terrible and their 19 giveaways are the fifth-most in the NFL. The Bears can cover and sniff an upset if they hold onto the ball and don’t give the Packers a short field. But even that won’t help against Rodgers.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers -12.5 and OVER 43

View NFL Week 14 betting lines.