Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions

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The AFC North is the tightest division in football with all four teams having at least five wins heading into Week 12. That puts more emphasis on games within the division and that’s what we have on Sunday night when the Cleveland Browns visit the Baltimore Ravens.

With Lamar Jackson at the helm, the Ravens swept the season series last year by a combined score of 85-48 and they’ve won and covered the previous three. Jackson missed last week’s game and the Ravens struggled to score behind backup Tyler Huntley. They did eke out a 16-13 win, though, to earn their first payout in four games. With Jackson’s status up in the air the line has adjusted with the Ravens a 3.5-point favorite.

The Week 12 Sunday Night Football game between the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 p.m. ET on November 28 and will be televised on NBC.

The Week 12 Sunday Night Football game between the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 p.m. ET on November 28 and will be televised on NBC.

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

Cleveland Browns +3.5 | Baltimore Ravens -3.5 [BET NOW]

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

Over/Under 46 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Jackson isn’t the only QB hurting. Baker Mayfield was in obvious discomfort last week and it showed. He had a pair of interceptions but the Browns were able to take down the winless Lions 13-10, though they failed to cover the two-touchdown spread.

And because of what’s happening with the QBs, oddsmakers were hesitant to post a spread and total. In fact, as of this writing, there are a few sportsbooks that have yet to put this game on the board. The shops that do have a line are in agreement with the Ravens a 3.5-point favorite. We can expect movement on the line as the situation with the quarterbacks becomes clearer.

Cleveland Browns

They are 6-5 and within spitting distance of first place in the division, but the Browns haven’t met their preseason expectations. They got everyone’s hopes up by going 11-5 and qualifying for the playoffs last season. But having a successful season is one thing, maintaining that success is another. Not that the season is lost, because it isn’t, but the Browns need to be more consistent on both sides of the football to string a few wins together.

It’s really been confusing the last few weeks. Following their 41-16 demolition of Cincinnati in Week 9, the Browns were manhandled the next week by New England and barely got by Detroit on Sunday. They failed to score more than 17 points in five of their last six games and now have a battered QB.

As quickly as the season started to spiral out of control, the Browns have a unique opportunity to change the narrative. They play the division leading Ravens in back-to-back games with a bye tossed in the middle. Pull out a few wins and suddenly Cleveland is at the top of the heap in the wide-open AFC North. They can pull it off if the ground game works. The Browns lead the NFL with close to 158 yards per game and got leading rusher Nick Chubb back last week. Kareem Hunt is also getting close and they’ll take a load off Mayfield’s shoulders.

Baltimore Ravens

It sure would be nice to have Jackson back for this key divisional game. Sure the Ravens beat the hapless Bears last week in Tyler Huntley’s first career start, but it’s safe to say the Browns aren’t the Bears. Huntley threw for 219 yards and ran for 40, but his best moment came on the final drive when he led the team 72 yards to the game-winning touchdown. Huntley was serviceable, but the Ravens are a much different team with LJ behind center.

Jackson has shredded opponents this season throwing for nearly 2,500 yards and running for 639. While they rank third in total yards and rushing yards, the Ravens average just 24.7 points to put them at 15th. Valuing the football has been an issue preventing higher scoring numbers. They’ve had at least one turnover in all but two games and five times the Ravens had multiple giveaways. They rank near the bottom with a minus-5 turnover margin.

Call them lucky or good, but the Ravens have been able to win the close games. Last week was their fifth straight in games decided by six points or less with three of those having a field goal or fewer margin. Justin Tucker is their secret weapon. With kickers around the league struggling, Tucker has been money. He’s made all 21 PATs and is 20 of 22 on field goals, including a record long 66-yarder in Week 3 to beat Detroit.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 and UNDER 46

Browns vs Ravens Predictions

I’m not sure where this game is going but it does appear as though Jackson is going to play and I have to back the home team if that’s the case. We saw Jackson decimate the Browns defense last year while Mayfield struggled on the road. And Baltimore’s defense has always been a handful. With ailing QBs and teams that can run the football, I’ll take the UNDER.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 and UNDER 46

View Week 12 NFL betting odds.