Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Predictions & Odds

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One team will end a losing streak and climb back over .500 when the Denver Broncos visit the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football to get the Week 7 betting slate underway. After opening with three consecutive wins the Broncos dropped their last three while failing to cover in any of them.

Things haven’t been much better for the Browns, who not only lost their last two games while going 0-2 ATS but also have some injury issues to work around, most notably to Baker Mayfield, who aggravated a shoulder injury. Mayfield said he’ll play on Thursday making the Browns a risky bet on a short week. Still, Cleveland surfaced as a 5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.

The Week 7 Thursday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns will take place at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland at 8:20 p.m. ET on October 21 and will be televised on FOX and NFL Network.

The Week 7 Thursday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns will take place at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland at 8:20 p.m. ET on October 21 and will be televised on FOX and NFL Network.

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Odds

Denver Broncos +5 | Cleveland Browns -5 [BET NOW]

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Money Line

Denver Broncos +172 | Cleveland Browns -205 [BET NOW]

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Over/Under

Over/Under 44 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Given the issues with both teams it might be wise to wait before throwing down on this game. The market will eventually even out and I don’t think the opening spread of Browns -5 is going to hold. For the first time this season the Broncos will be catching points. They were a 5-point home favorite against the Raiders on Sunday and never led falling 34-24, their third consecutive SU and ATS defeat.

Denver cashed the OVER in each of its last two games after playing below the total in the first four. The Browns fell to 3-3 SU and ATS with their 37-14 loss as a 3-point favorite to Arizona. Injuries to key offensive performers could force the total to drop from it’s opening of 44, but the Browns have surrendered 84 points in the last two games cashing the OVER both times.

Denver Broncos

It’s been a while since the Broncos actually had a lead in a game. They scored first in their Week 4 contest with Baltimore only to give up the next 23 points. That was the last time Denver held an advantage. Pittsburgh got the better of them 27-19 in Week 5 and two fourth quarter touchdowns against Vegas made the final score closer than it really was. Maybe the Broncos just aren’t as good as their 3-0 start and the results six weeks into the season show that.

Teddy Bridgewater accounted for all four turnovers with three interceptions and a fumble.

Beating the Giants, Jacksonville and the Jets over the first three games proved that Denver can beat the worst teams in the league. Each of those clubs has one win and they are a combined 3-14 through Week 6. We’ve witnessed a drop off on both sides of the football and Denver’s inability to value the pigskin was a big reason for Sunday’s loss. Teddy Bridgewater accounted for all four turnovers with three interceptions and a fumble. Those miscues thwarted drives hindering an offense that was otherwise efficient.

Denver’s defense has come back to earth. After holding the first three opponents to an average of fewer than nine points, the group has been rocked. Lamar Jackson and Derek Carr each threw for over 315 yards and the group allowed an average of 28 points in the three losses.

Cleveland Browns

For a team with high expectations the recent funk is demoralizing for the Browns. At this point it’s about treading water until bodies are healthy enough to play. Already without Nick Chubb the club saw Kareem Hunt carted off the field on Sunday putting a severe damper on the NFL’s No. 1 ranked ground game. Hunt had 66 of the team’s 73 rushing yards, nearly 100 yards fewer than their season average.

Falling behind forced the Browns to throw the football and Mayfield had his issues losing two fumbles and throwing a pick. He also sustained a shoulder injury on one of his five sacks. The offense was impacted by the loss of starting tackles Jack Conklin and Jedrick Willis with their status unclear with such a short turnaround. And while Mayfield said he “absolutely” plans to play on Thursday, just how effective he’ll be is a huge question.

It’s been a goofy stretch for the Browns, who allowed a total of 13 points in wins over the Bears and Vikings. That defense disappeared the last two weeks with a total of 84 points scored by the Chargers and Cardinals. They have the second-best total defense in the NFL but allow more than 25 points per game to rank 22nd. The OVER is 4-2 on the season.

Prediction: Denver Broncos +5 and UNDER 44

Broncos vs Browns Prediction

This is a difficult game to handicap considering the number of injuries the Browns have and Denver’s inability to play against the better teams in the league. The short week won’t help Mayfield but the Browns don’t have to travel and that could prove large in the outcome. Taking care of the football is also important after both clubs were generous last week. I’m torn, but I like Denver to cover the current line with Cleveland getting the SU victory.

Prediction: Denver Broncos +5 and UNDER 44

View all the latest NFL Week 7 odds.