Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators Predictions

0
78

The Georgia Bulldogs put their undefeated record and No. 1 national ranking on the line when they hook up with Florida Gators in Jacksonville in their annual rivalry game. The Dawgs haven’t lost an SEC game since falling to Florida last year, reeling off eight consecutive victories.

And UGA has been downright dominant this season winning all seven games by an average margin of nearly 32 points. Georgia opened as a 14.5-point favorite, which would be the largest spread in this matchup since 2009 when the Gators won and covered as a 16.5-point favorite.

The Week 9 college football game between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators will take place at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 30, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

The Week 9 college football game between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators will take place at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 30, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators Odds

Georgia Bulldogs -14 | Florida Gators +14 [BET NOW]

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators Over/Under

Over/Under 51 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Both teams are coming off a bye so they should be well rested. It’s not like Georgia needed the respite since the Dawgs are the most dominant team in college football this season. They entered the off week taking care of previously unbeaten Kentucky 30-13, though they failed to cover the 21.5-point line snapping a 3-game ATS winning streak.

The Dawgs have been favored by at least two touchdowns in their previous six matchups going 4-2 ATS. And they return to Jacksonville where the fun began this season with a 10-3 win over Clemson in the opener when the Dawgs were a 3-point dog.

Hopefully the Gators used the down time to recollect their thoughts. Perhaps looking ahead to this showdown, they entered the bye with a disappointing 49-42 loss at LSU as a 12.5-point favorite dropping them to 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS overall. All three setbacks came in league play leaving the Gators out of the SEC East picture, though they can get some redemption with a victory on Saturday.

Georgia Bulldogs

We don’t know who’s starting at quarterback for the Bulldogs on Saturday, but that hasn’t mattered with a defense that’s shut down every opponent. Heck, UGA could put me back there and would probably win by scoring a defensive touchdown or two. You get the idea. The Dawgs are the best at stopping teams and the stats prove it.

They allow less than 210 yards per game and a measly 6.6 points per contest, easily the best marks in the country. And they seemingly have no weaknesses. They rank second nationally against both the pass and the run. And you know the Dawgs are thinking back to last season when UF torched them for 44 points.

Even though offense is an afterthought the Bulldogs have been pretty good. Having two starters makes things a lot easier. With JT Daniels sidelined the last few games Stetson Bennett stepped up leading the team to 30 or more points in the last three contests. Bennett threw for 250 yards and three touchdowns in a 30-13 win over Kentucky last time out. The two QBs have combined for nearly 1,600 passing yards and 16 touchdowns for the 13th best scoring team in the country.

Florida Gators

Florida stopped a three-game losing streak in the series with last year’s 44-28 victory as a 2.5-point dog. Of course it helped having Kyle Trask toss the ball to Kyle Pitts, but those two aren’t around and getting that kind of production on the scoreboard is going to be difficult. Still, the Gators aren’t a bad team offensively.

They’ve gotten solid play from their QB duo of Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson, and when they don’t turn the ball over good things often happen. The two have split time pretty much all season and they will likely get playing time on Saturday. The Gators average over 500 yards with most of the damage on the ground. They rank fourth nationally with 254.6 rushing yards per game.

The key for Florida is for Richardson to have a big game. He’s given the team a lift when inserted and he has the ability to frustrate defenses by making big plays with his legs. That may not work against Georgia, though, since the Dawgs have athletes all over the field and can make up for blown assignments with pure athleticism.

Getting a strong game from the defense is also a must. I don’t see Florida scoring a lot of points so holding the Dawgs in check is a must. The numbers were skewed by LSU, which got plenty of help from four UF turnovers. Value the football and the Gators increase their chances of covering the spread.

Prediction: Florida Gators +14 and UNDER 51

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators Prediction

It’s hard to ignore just how good Georgia has been defensively. And they have studs all over the field. Mix in a decent offense and you have the No. 1 ranked team in the country. It’s hard to see Florida winning this game, but getting 14 points on the line is enticing. As long as the Gators value the football I can see them doing enough damage to keep the score respectable.

Prediction: Florida Gators +14 and UNDER 51

View all Week 9 college football odds.