All the Kansas City Chiefs have done under Andy Reid is win football games. Since Reid took over in 2013 the Chiefs have recorded at least 10 wins in seven of eight seasons with a franchise record 14 victories last year. Things got revved up when Patrick Mahomes took the starting gig and the Chiefs are once again a Super Bowl threat. If you’re looking for motivation, look no further than what happened in February when the Chiefs were flattened by Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl.
With a solid group of players returning the Chiefs remain one of the top teams in the NFL. And with Mahomes slinging the ball all over the yard to a number of talented playmakers, the Chiefs shouldn’t have trouble scoring. Oddsmakers like the Chiefs, too, with the highest win total on the board at 12.5. One additional game on the slate seems like it should be enough for this group to reach the OVER.
Kansas City Chiefs 2021 Regular Season Win Total Odds
Chiefs Over 12.5 Wins +116
Chiefs Under 12.5 Wins +137
(Odds provided by BookMaker.eu as of 8:38 am ET)
Losing the Super Bowl might have been the best thing to happen for the Chiefs for a run to their third straight title game. It sounds silly, but the way they were manhandled should be an inspiration. There were plenty of close calls last season and winning all those games masked what was a big problem. The offensive line dealt with opt-outs at the start of the year and injuries during the season, and the group crumbled under the Bucs relentless pressure. So the line will be brand new in 2021 with the addition of Joe Thuney and Orlando Brown Jr. among others. And a protected Mahomes is dangerous.
Mahomes has his two favorite targets in Tyreek Hill and Traves Kelce, who combined for 192 catches, 2,692 yards and 26 touchdowns last season. Top draft pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire thrived in the offense amassing over 1,100 yards from scrimmage. Mahomes has the ability to make everyone around him better and receivers Mecole Hardman Jr., Demarcus Robinson and Byron Pringle will get a chance to take over the No. 2 spot with Sammy Watkins headed elsewhere. Still, the offense should be powerful after scoring the most points in 2018 and finishing among the top-6 the last two seasons.
An improved pass rush will go a long way towards helping the Chiefs win more football games. The defense wasn’t bad last year finishing 10th in points allowed, but the sacks and pressure dipped from 2019. Chris Jones and Frank Clark combined for nearly half of the teams sack total and the group of linebackers is more athletic with second-round pick Nick Bolton getting a shot. The defense has been overshadowed by the exploits of Mahomes the last two years, but the unit is solid and has the potential to be even better in 2021.
2021 Kansas City Chiefs Schedule
Week 1: vs. Cleveland Browns, Sunday, September 12, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 2: at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, September 19, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
Week 3: vs. Los Angeles Chargers, Sunday, September 26, 1 p.m. ET
Week 4: at Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, October 3, 1 p.m. ET
Week 5: vs. Buffalo Bills, Sunday, October 10, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
Week 6: at Washington Football Team, Sunday, October 17, 1 p.m. ET
Week 7: at Tennessee Titans, Sunday, October 24, 1 p.m. ET
Week 8: vs. New York Giants, Monday, November 1, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Week 9: vs. Green Bay Packers, Sunday, November 7, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 10: at Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, November 14, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
Week 11: vs. Dallas Cowboys, Sunday, November 21, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 12: BYE
Week 13: vs. Denver Broncos, Sunday, December 5, 1 p.m. ET
Week 14: vs. Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, December 12, 1 p.m. ET
Week 15: at Los Angeles Chargers, Thursday, December 16, 8:20 p.m. ET (FOX/NFLN)
Week 16: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday, December 26, 4:25 p.m. ET
Week 17: at Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, January 2, 1 p.m. ET
Week 18: at Denver Broncos, Sunday, January 9, 4:25 p.m. ET
We’ll see if the Chiefs are over their Super Bowl loss early in the season with games against the Browns, Ravens and Chargers out of the chute. The first two are against clubs on the short list of AFC contenders while the third deals with an AFC West hopeful. The biggest games of the season take place at Arrowhead giving the Chiefs a slight edge on the early line over the Browns, Bills, Packers and Steelers.
There’s no reason to think KC’s dominance in the division is about to end. Sure, the rest of the AFC West is catching up, but they aren’t there yet. The Chiefs were 4-2 against division foes last season with their loss to the Bolts in the final weekend of the regular season with starters sitting. They are 26-4 in the division over the last five seasons.
Kansas City Chiefs Season Win 2021 Prediction
Our pick: Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 12.5 Wins
The big question is can the Chiefs maintain their intensity through the regular season? It’s almost become too easy for them and winning a number of close games last season probably won’t happen again. The additional game gives the Chiefs a little cushion, but the Super Bowl loss provided a blueprint for opposing defensive coordinators. And while the Chiefs are a Super Bowl contender, 12 wins is probably tops with a tough slate of AFC opponents.
Check out today’s NFL odds.