Colts vs Ravens Predictions & Odds

0
58

A key AFC battle wraps up the Week 5 betting schedule when the Indianapolis Colts visit the surging Baltimore Raves on Monday Night Football. The Ravens didn’t make any friends in Denver last week, but that’s not why they traveled to the Mile High City.

They came away with something more important: a win. Baltimore has won three straight going 2-1 ATS so forge a three-way tie atop the AFC North. The Colts are looking to start a run of their own after picking up their first W of the year last week in Miami. Baltimore has won 12 of its last 15 regular season home games and sits as a 7-point favorite on the NFL betting line.

The Week 5 NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens will take place at MT Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 p.m. ET on Monday, October 11 and will be televised on ESPN.

The Week 5 NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens will take place at MT Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 p.m. ET on Monday, October 11 and will be televised on ESPN.

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

Indianapolis Colts +7 | Baltimore Ravens -7 [BET NOW]

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Money Line

Indianapolis Colts +263 | Baltimore Ravens -325 [BET NOW]

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Over/Under

Over/Under 45 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

The Ravens busted out last week against the Broncos winning outright 23-7 as a 1-point dog. They won their previous two games by a total of three points and dropped the opener in overtime. I guess you could say they’re used to playing close games.

Oddsmakers don’t expect this one to be as close pegging the Ravens as a 6.5-point favorite on the opening line. That attracted a lot of attention to the home team with the line wagered up to Baltimore -7.

The last time the Ravens were favored by at least that many points they needed a record-long Justin Tucker field goal to edge the Lions on the road in Week 3. After dropping their first three going 1-2 ATS, the Colts have to feel better following their 27-17 win in Miami.

They got the outright win as a 2.5-point dog while cashing the OVER. Baltimore won four of the previous five meetings going 2-3 ATS. The teams cashed the UNDER in eight straight games with the total wagered down to 45.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts were hopeful a change of scenery would reboot the career of Carson Wentz, who wore out his welcome in Philly with some shoddy play. Under QB guru Frank Reich, Wentz has looked closer to his old self and nothing like the player he was last season. Work still needs to be done and improvements made, but the offense is headed in the right direction.

Wentz had an efficient outing helping the Colts to their first win. He completed 24 of 32 for 228 yards with two touchdowns. And more importantly he didn’t throw an interception. That’s important because he led the NFL with 15 picks last season and has only two so far in 2021.

But the team has lacked big gainers averaging just 5.0 yards per play. That could have something to do with the health of Wentz. We didn’t know if he’d even start the season after a camp injury put him on the shelf. And he’s been dealing with bad ankles limiting his ability to scramble.

There’s a chance star linebacker Darius Leonard doesn’t play leaving a huge void in the defense. Stopping Lamar Jackson is a key to beating the Ravens and without Leonard the chore becomes even harder. The Colts are eighth in total defense but allow 24.3 points to rank 17th.

Baltimore Ravens

Imagine just how potent the Ravens offense would be if Jackson was able to keep defenses honest by throwing the football. We know he can run and he’s been one of the best doing that. He amassed over 1,000 yards in each of the previous two seasons ranking inside the top-10 both years among all ball carriers. He’s never been proficient throwing the ball until maybe now.

With the backfield decimated by injuries to JK Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justice Hill, more responsibility fell in Jackson’s lap. Never one to forego a challenge, LJ has been every bit the former MVP. Not only does he lead the team in rushing he’s found some consistency through the air.

Against the Broncos he threw for 316 yards, the second 300-yard game of his career, and two of his three best passing performances have happened in the last two weeks.

Toss in a defense that played its best game of the season last week and the Ravens have the look of a contender. After giving up an average of 34 points over the first two games the unit has allowed a total of 24 points the last two weeks allowing them to cash the UNDER both times.

Our Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -7 and OVER 45

Colts vs Ravens Prediction

The Ravens could very easily be undefeated right now if not for a Monday night collapse in the opener. They could also have a few more losses if not for Tucker’s record field goal in Detroit and the comeback win over KC. One thing about the Ravens is that they know how to win.

And the Colts are trying to figure that out. With Leonard possibly out or less than 100 percent if he does play, there are yards and points for the Ravens. And I like them to get enough to cover.

Our Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -7 and OVER 45

View all NFL Week 5 odds.