Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Redskins Prediction & Odds

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Who would’ve thought that after five weeks of the 2021 NFL season the Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Football Team would have the same record. Both teams fell below .500 with a loss last week, and while it wasn’t unexpected to see the team formerly known as the Redskins in this position, it certainly is odd to see the two-time defending AFC champions in this predicament.

The preseason Super Bowl favorite Chiefs were dismantled by AFC heavyweight Buffalo at home on Sunday night leaving a lot of doubt. Both teams have struggled defensively which is why the total has soared to 55.5, the highest currently on the Week 6 board.

The Week 6 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Redskins Football Team will take place at FedEx Field at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 17, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

The Week 6 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Redskins Football Team will take place at FedEx Field at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 17, 2021 and will be televised on CBS.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Redskins Odds

Kansas City Chiefs -7 | Washington Football Team +7 [BET NOW]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Redskins Money Line

Kansas City Chiefs -320 | Washington Football Team +260 [BET NOW]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Redskins Over/Under

Over/Under 55.5 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Despite losing three of their last four games and falling below .500, the Chiefs are still getting plenty of respect for this inter-conference matchup. KC hit the board laying 5.5 points and has been wagered to converted touchdown favorite. Their issues appear to be much deeper, though, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see some buy back on Washington.

In a key AFC tilt last week with the Bills, KC was manhandled losing outright 38-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite falling to 1-4 ATS. Washington also sits at 1-4 ATS after failing to cover the 2.5-point line in last week’s 33-22 loss to New Orleans. Both teams are trending the OVER with Washington exceeding the total in its previous four games. The over/under of 55.5 is currently the highest on the Week 6 board.

Kansas City Chiefs

If Patrick Mahomes and the offense can’t produce the Chiefs are in trouble. We saw that last week when KC was soundly beaten by a motivated Buffalo squad. The Chiefs ran 25 more offensive plays than Buffalo and were outgained 436-392. Mahomes completed 33 of 54 pass attempts for 272 yards with a pair of touchdowns. More concerning is the rate he’s turning the football over. Two interceptions raised his season total to six, tying him for the third-most in the NFL. Mahomes threw six picks in 588 attempts last season.

Mahomes completed 33 of 54 pass attempts for 272 yards with a pair of touchdowns last week against Buffalo.

It isn’t just Mahomes having issues valuing the football. The Chiefs have also lost five fumbles, including a costly turnover from Clyde Edwards-Helaire that cost them a win in Baltimore. KC is tied with Jacksonville for the most giveaways in the NFL with 11 through five weeks.

We can’t blame the offense entirely for the slow start. Sure the group isn’t performing the way it has in the past, but it still ranks among the top-5 in total yards and points per game. The other side of the football has been a huge disappointment. The Chiefs allowed 436 yards to the Bills, including eight plays of more than 20 yards, with a whopping 8.1 yards per play. They’ve surrendered at least 30 points in the last four games and rank last giving up an average of 32.6 points.

Washington Redskins Football Team

Defensive woes aren’t just limited to the visitors in this matchup. The Football Team thought it turned a corner with the Week 4 win over Atlanta, but that had more to do with Taylor Heinicke. We saw more ugliness from Washington in its loss to New Orleans. The Saints connected on scoring plays of 72 yards and a 49-yard Hail Mary at the end of the first half that turned the tide. Opponents have scored at least 29 points in each of the last four games and the Football Team ranks next to last allowing 31 points per game.

If there was a positive on the defensive side from the Saints game it’s that Chase Young registered his first sack of the season. His strip-sack of Jameis Winston was one of two takeaways after Washington hadn’t forced a turnover in its previous two games. Forcing KC miscues could have a big impact on the outcome of Sunday’s tilt.

Heinicke struggled most of the day against a good Saints defense. One week after his finest game in a Washington uniform, Heinicke completed less than 50 percent of his throws for 248 yards and was intercepted twice. Inconsistent play at the most important position will lead to troubling times.

Our Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -7 and OVER 55.5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Redskins Prediction

It’s hard to trust the Chiefs defense at this point. Enough games have been played to get an idea of what every team is and KC isn’t good at stopping opponents. The key here is that Washington hasn’t exactly lit up opponents and Heinicke has played uneven since taking over.

The edge belongs to the Chiefs at the QB spot and I expect they’ll be an angry bunch after last week’s mess. Both teams have routinely cashed the OVER going 4-1 and points are on the field with the two worst scoring defenses. I do like KC to make a statement with a big road cover.

Our Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -7 and OVER 55.5

View all NFL Week 6 odds.