The Week 4 NFL betting slate concludes with a Monday Night Football matchup between hated rivals the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers. Both clubs have been a pleasant surprise early in the campaign with the Raiders one of only two unbeatens in the AFC.
The Chargers sent a message to the rest of the division, the American conference, and the entire league with last week’s road upset of two-time defending AFC champion Kansas City. The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings and with two of the best passing attacks in the league we could see some fireworks.
The Week 4 MNF matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers will take place at SoFi Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET on October 4 and will be televised on ESPN.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds
Raiders +3 | Chargers -3 [BET NOW]
Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Money Line
Raiders +148 | Chargers -170 [BET NOW]
Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Over/Under
Over/Under 52 [BET NOW]
We haven’t seen a lot of movement on the line since hitting the board at LA -3. There was some early action on the home team pushing the number to 3.5 but things have leveled off. The Raiders failed to cover the 4-point spread last week for the first time this season in their 31-28 win over Miami.
The Chargers won outright in KC 30-24 as a 6.5-point dog improving to 2-1 ATS. The teams have played close games recently with each of the last four decided by seven points or less. Vegas has had the better of the action going 3-1 SU and ATS in those outings. The total has remained steady at 52 with the OVER going 3-1 in the previous four meetings.
Las Vegas Raiders
You can’t give up on the Raiders with their ability to come from behind. They trailed Baltimore by two touchdowns early in the season opener and never led until a game-winning field goal in overtime. They also overcame a 14-0 deficit last week to beat Miami 31-28 in OT. With Derek Carr launching the ball all over the field the Raiders are never out of a game.
Carr has been superb in the early going averaging 401 passing yards. He threw for 386 yards last week and has more than 380 yards in each of the first three games. The concern is going to be if his arm holds up. Carr three 56 passes in the opener and is averaging more than 45 attempts. The Raiders have been forced to throw with a ground game that’s been stalled by an injury to Josh Jacobs. Peyton Barber rushed for 111 yards last week, but Vegas averages only 91.3 rushing yards.
The Raiders have been just good enough on defense, which is an improvement from where they were last year. And the group has been bailed out by Carr and the offense a few times. Holding a 10-point lead with under nine minutes to play last week, the defense squandered it. Miami scored a touchdown with two seconds on the clock and added the 2-point conversion to forge a tie. The drive covered 82 yards with Miami picking up five first downs.
Los Angeles Chargers
Herbert looked like a seasoned veteran outplaying Patrick Mahomes. The Bolts got a huge victory despite getting outperformed in just about every relevant stat category. But the only number that counts is the score and the Bolts held the 30-24 advantage. Herbert threw for 281 yards and four touchdowns, the last to Mike Williams with 32 seconds remaining. Bold moves by rookie coach Brandon Staley also proved decisive.
With the game tied late in the fourth and the Bolts facing a fourth-and-nine in KC territory, Staley elected to go for it and not attempt a field goal. The move paid off when the Chiefs were flagged for pass interference. A few plays later Herbert connected for the winning score. It’s easy to have confidence in your quarterback when he’s as good as Herbert. His 281 passing yards were a season-low, but Herbert made up for the low total by tossing four scoring passes.
The defense came up big forcing four turnovers, including a pair of interceptions off Mahomes, and that proved to be the difference. The Bolts allowed 437 total yards and 186 yards on the ground. LA is dead last in run defense surrendering an average of 170 yards. The unit has forced at least one turnover in every game and will need another ball-hawking effort to stymie Vegas.
Raiders vs Chargers Prediction
This has been an evenly-matched series since the teams first played in 1960 and recent games have been high-scoring and close. With early season supremacy in the AFC West at stake and with both teams lighting it up through the air this game probably won’t be different. Points are out there giving plenty of value to the OVER and the Raiders’ good fortune will end sometime, so why not on Monday night?
Our Prediction: Los Angeles Chargers -3 / OVER 52
Vie all available NFL Week 4 odds.