Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Predictions | NFL Week 13

The hottest team in the NFL looks to remain that way in a major tussle between AFC East rivals the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Winners of six straight, the Pats have taken over the top spot in the division behind a rookie quarterback and the NFL’s top-ranked scoring defense.

With two games in the span of three weeks, the division title is up for grabs between the two heavyweights. New England opened as a 3.5-point road dog with that numbered wagered down a full point on the NFL betting line.

The Week 13 Monday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY at 8:15 p.m. ET on December 6 and will be televised on ESPN.

The Week 13 Monday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY at 8:15 p.m. ET on December 6 and will be televised on ESPN.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Odds

Patriots +2.5 | Bills -2.5 [BET NOW]

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Over/Under

Over/Under 42 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

With six straight wins and payouts the Patriots are a hot ticket at the betting window. And they’ve received plenty of support for this showdown. Hitting the board catching 3.5-points, the spread has been bet down to New England +2.5. It’s been an epic run for the Pats, who now hold a half-game lead over the Bills by winning six straight and seven of their last eight.

The Bills have alternated wins and losses over their previous six games, but enter this matchup off a convincing 31-6 win over New Orleans on Thanksgiving giving them a little extra time to prepare for this bout. With the top two scoring defenses taking the field we’ve seen the total plummet to 42, which is currently the second lowest on the Week 13 betting board.

New England Patriots

So, maybe it wasn’t Tom Brady that made the Pats a dominant force in the NFL for two decades. With the struggles the team endured last season that was the assumption. As it turns out all Bill Belichick needed was the right QB in the system. He’s seemingly found that guy in Mac Jones. But Jones is just a piece in the system, albeit a rather big one, and the entire team has evolved into one of the best in the AFC.

Coming from a championship program at Alabama, Jones is no stranger to playing on the big stage. He wrestled the starting job from Cam Newton in camp and forced the team to release the former MVP. And again Belichick proved why he’s the best in the business. There were some growing pains early on with three losses in four games to start the year, but the Pats have been unbeatable since. Their only loss in the last eight games was an overtime thriller to the Cowboys and they’ve outscored opponents 211-63 during their current winning streak tallying at least 24 points in every game.

The Pats are solid defensively and will get a stiff challenge from Josh Allen on Monday. They lead the NFL allowing just 15.8 points and rank among the top-5 in total defense and against the pass. The addition of Matt Judon and return of Dont’a Hightower have solidified the group. Judon’s 11.5 sacks are the third-most in the NFL.

Buffalo Bills

The story being written in New England has overshadowed what the Bills have done. The defending division champs are flying under the radar and that could be a good thing. While they are favored on the betting board they’re likely an underdog in public opinion with the pressure of claiming the AFC East crown resting on the shoulders of Jones and the Pats.

I don’t think many expected the Bills to duplicate their 13 wins from a season ago, but they certainly saw them as a contender in the conference. They are, but the Bills need to find some consistency in their game. Alternating wins and losses isn’t going to get it done and they had the benefit of a mini-bye after taking down New Orleans 31-6 on Thanksgiving. They faced a decimated opponent but did what they had to in the convincing performance.

Beating New England will require a big game from Allen. We saw both sides of him against the Saints with four touchdown passes being the good and two interceptions the bad. And he will have to limit the turnovers against the top scoring defense. Allen has tossed seven picks in the last four games after being picked four times in the first seven contests. That’s been a big reason for the team’s inconsistent play on that side of the football.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -2.5 and OVER 4

New England vs Buffalo Predictions

This is the biggest game on the Week 13 slate not only in terms of the competitors, but also because of what’s at stake. With the Bills taking a back seat this is a good time for them to remind everybody just how good they are. It starts with Allen, who must protect the football. If he does the Bills have a great shot at ending New England’s streak and getting back in the driver’s seat for a division crown.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -2.5 and OVER 42

View NFL Week 13 betting lines.