It doesn’t matter what the New York Mets do they’ll never be viewed in the same lens as their area counterpart New York Yankees. And that’s why beating their neighbor is important and so much sweeter when it happens. It’s been an underwhelming campaign so far for the Yankees, who slipped to fourth in the AL East nine games off the pace heading into the weekend Subway Series.
On the other side the Metropolitans have played decent ball and sit atop the NL East. The clubs hook up on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball from the Bronx to close a three-game set.
This interleague contest takes place on Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 7 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The game will air live on ESPN.
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Odds
Money Line: Mets +131 | Yankees -145 [BET NOW]
Run Line: Mets +1.5 -155 | Yankees -1.5 +145 [BET NOW]
Total: 8.5 [BET NOW]
Yankees So Far…
A preseason favorite to contend for the World Series, the Yankees find themselves floundering and fans screaming to have Aaron Boone fired. The manager got the dreaded vote of confidence from ownership after they blew a late lead in a loss to the Angels on Wednesday, their fifth setback in six games.
It wasn’t that they lost game rather how they lost it. Usually reliable closer Aroldis Chapman was roughed up in a non-save situation and the Yanks surrendered seven runs in the top of the ninth to lose 11-8. It was just another in a string of alarming setbacks.
The Yankees seemingly recovered from a 6-11 start by winning 22 of their next 30 games to get nine games over .500, but they regressed losing five of six and are just 13-20 in their past 33 outings that included a sweep by rival Boston last weekend.
Now they only have the Baltimore Orioles between them and the AL East basement. And the Yanks have been a money pit down 1057 units on the moneyline and 1819 units on the runline.
Mets So Far…
Nearly halfway through the 2021 season the Mets are leading the NL East. And there certainly is room for improvement, especially on the offensive side. They don’t score a lot of runs plating more than four just once in their last 12 games. They average just 3.5 runs per game while hitting .227 as a team.
They also rank near the bottom in OPS and home runs. They have received strong pitching and not just from Jacob deGrom. Marcus Stroman and Taijuan Walker both have ERAs under 3.00 and the once maligned bullpen has been fantastic.
The Yankees are excited that they don’t have to face deGrom in the series and will instead get Tyler Megill (0-0, 4.82 ERA) in the finale. Megill has started two games this season and he’ll be excited to face someone other than the Braves. Last time out he yielded three runs on five hits with eight strikeouts over 5.0 innings taking a ND in New York’s 4-3 victory. In fact the Mets won both his previous starts scoring a total of 11 runs.
A relief pitcher in college, Megill was drafted with the intention of turning him into a starter at the big league level. You could say he was a project. He took to the idea, worked on his endurance and stamina then got a chance when No. 5 starter Joey Lucchesi was lost for the year. He’s been impressive enough to earn another start and will look to extend his outing.
The Yankees haven’t announced a starter as of this writing but there’s a chance we see Michael King (0-4, 4.06 ERA) take the bump on Sunday. It’s his spot in the rotation after all. Starting the season mainly as a reliever, King has made six straight starts giving up at least two earned runs each time while pitching out of the fifth inning just once. He’s posted a 4.26 ERA in those games while going 0-3. King had one of his better outings last time out giving up two earned with four strikeouts over 4.1 innings in a game the Yankees lost 5-3.
Scoring opportunities should be there for the Mets. However, taking advantage of those chances is another thing. King has allowed 43 hits in 44.1 innings with 20 walks for a 1.42 WHIP. He’s limited the damage by allowing just five homers.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
Our Picks: New York Yankees -145 and OVER 8.5
Because of where they are in the pecking order of New York baseball teams, these games mean a lot more to the Mets. And wouldn’t they love to kick the dog when it’s down. However, I do think the Yankees will emerge from their slumber, especially after comments made by owner Hal Steinbrenner earlier in the week blaming players for the inconsistent play. He’s not wrong and lighting a fuse could be what turns their season around.
Check out today’s MLB odds.