Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears Odds & Predictions

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The Oklahoma Sooners look to extend the nation’s longest winning streak when they visit the Baylor Bears in a Big 12 showdown on Saturday. The Sooners improved to 9-0 this season winning their 17th consecutive game taking down Texas Tech 52-21 in Week 9.

They’re hoping the bye doesn’t quell some of the momentum they gained after making a quarterback swap. Caleb Williams has been sensational since taking the reins from Spencer Rattler, who was the Heisman frontrunner at the start of the year. OU hit the board as a 6.5-point favorite to extend its overall winning streak to 18 games.

The Week 11 college football game between the Oklahoma Sooners and Baylor Bears will take place at McLane Stadium in Waco, TX at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 13, 2021 and will be televised on FOX.

Week 11 college football game between the Oklahoma Sooners and Baylor Bears will take place at McLane Stadium in Waco, TX at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 13, 2021 and will be televised on FOX.

Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears Odds

Oklahoma Sooners -5.5 | Baylor Bears +5.5 [BET NOW]

Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears Over/Under

Over/Under 61.5 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

The Sooners put a couple of winning streaks on the line Saturday. They’ve won 17 straight overall and captured the previous seven meetings with Baylor going just 3-4 ATS in those games. OU is on a torrid offensive pace since Williams took over in the Texas game a few weeks ago.

He sparked a comeback as the Sooners rallied for a 55-48 cover victory. Including that game and the three Williams started since OU has scored more than 50 points three times going 3-1 ATS. They also exceeded the point total in three games with the OVER 4-1 in the last five games.

The line opened with the Bears a 6.5-point dog. Their play at home had something to do with the buyback that brought the line down a full point to BU +5.5. Baylor is 5-0 SU and ATS at home this season and is 12-3 SU at home over the previous 15 contests.

Their conference title hopes took a hit with last week’s outright 30-28 loss to TCU. And the Bears are also trending to the OVER playing above the total in three of the last four games with the OVER 6-3 overall.

Oklahoma Sooners

It was a gutsy move by Lincoln Riley to replace a preseason Heisman Trophy candidate with a redshirt freshman in the middle of the season. But with the offense struggling under Rattler and Williams a highly touted five-star recruit it was a calculated risk. And boy does the coach look like a genius. Williams kickstarted the comeback against Texas throwing for two touchdowns and running for another as the Sooners overcame an 18-point second half deficit to get the 55-48 victory.

In his three starts Williams completed nearly 80 percent of his passes for 875 yards with 12 touchdowns and one interception. He went off against Texas Tech in the last game with 402 passing yards and six scores. He’s also been a threat running the football with 139 rushing yards and two scores in those three games. And that’s led to a lot of points with the Sooners twice scoring 52 while averaging 46.3 points in Williams’ three starts.

Baylor Bears

The Bears may have been peeking ahead to this matchup, but they also ran into an emotional buzzsaw in the Horned Frogs, who were playing their first game in over 20 years without Gary Patterson on the sideline. With no room for error, the Bears need a victory to keep alive any hope of returning to the Big 12 title game for the second time in three seasons. Their other loss was in Week 6 to Oklahoma State, the only other team ahead of them in the conference standings. The top two teams in the standings will play for the championship.

While OU had last week off the Bears were having a tough time defending TCU. Facing a QB making his first start the defense allowed 562 total yards with Chandler Morris accounting for 531 of them. Morris threw for 461 yards and rushed for 70 yards on 11 carries while scoring three total touchdowns and he was rarely pressured.

“The pass rush really stands out as an area that’s got to improve,” Dave Aranda said.

If it doesn’t the Bears could be in for a long afternoon trying to stop Williams. Turnovers have also plagued Baylor. Gerry Bohanon tossed a pair of interceptions last week and has five in the last three games after not tossing a pick over the first six contests.

Oklahoma vs Baylor Prediction

OU spent its bye watching Baylor’s defense get shredded by a first-time starter. That has to bode well for the Sooners as they look to extend their winning streaks. Surprisingly we saw action on the UNDER dropping the total a few points to a rather tame 61.5.

Baylor can run the football and will use that to control the tempo. Still, I see points being scored and Baylor is always a tough out at home. They probably won’t win the game, but the Bears will stay within the line.

Prediction: Baylor Bears +5.5 and OVER 61.5

View Week 11 college football odds.