The Match 4 | Odds & Predictions


The Match returns on July 6, reuniting Mickelson and Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady against DeChambeau and Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. The charity golf event with be hosted at Moonlight Basin in Big Sky, Montana and will be a modified alternate shot match play.

The Match returns on July 6, reuniting Mickelson and Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady against DeChambeau and Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

Mickelson, a two-time winner of the competition, teamed up with Tom Brady last May (The Match II). In November, he teamed with Charles Barkley to upset Stephen Curry and Peyton Manning (The Match III). This summer’s competition will mark DeChambeau and Rodgers’ first time participating in the event. and will be the fourth installment of The Match tournament.

Favorite to Win The Match

Oddsmakers have posted early odds for The Match 4 already with DeChambeau, the OWGR No. 6, and the reigning NFL MVP Rodgers remain the betting favorites to win The Match at -193.

Mickelson, the recent surprise winner of the PGA Championship, and Super Bowl-winning QB Brady come back at +157. Brady and Mickelson previously teamed up in May 2020 to face Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning and lost. 

Odds to Win The Match 4

Bryson DeChambeau/Aaron Rodgers-193
Phil Mickelson/Tom Brady+157
Odds courtesy of as of June 29, 2021.

When is The Match Taking Place?

TNT’s coverage of The Match will begin at 5 p.m. ET on July 6. All players will wear mics during the entire competition and be able to talk with their fellow golfers and the broadcast commentators.

Where is The Match Taking Place?

The Match 4 takes place at The Reserve at Moonlight Basin, which is an 8,000-yard private course, with a 7,500-foot elevation, designed by legendary golfer Jack Nicklaus.

What is the Format for The Match?

The Match format will be modified alternate-shot play. Each player will tee off and then the players will swap balls for the second shot. After those second shots, each team will determine the best ball and alternate shots from there on out until the hole is finished.

The Match History

Let’s take a look below at the previous three The Match events and see who the winners (bold) have been.

November 23, 2018Tigers Woods (-200)Phil Mickelson (+175)
May 24, 2020Tigers Woods/Peyton Manning (-190)Phil Mickelson/Tom Brady (+145)
November 27, 2020Peyton Manning/Steph Curry (-175)Phil Mickelson/Charles Barkley (+138)

The Match 4 Prediction

Our pick: Bryson DeChambeau/Aaron Rodgers -193

Mickelson and Brady should be a comfortable pairing. They lost 1 up to Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning last May at Medalist Golf Club in Florida. Brady got off to a shaky start but delivered one of the highlights of the day, holing a wedge from the seventh fairway for birdie.

The Reserve at Moonlight Basin should serve as a spectacular venue and features a par-5 measuring almost 800 yards. A mic’d up Mickelson was tremendous with the commentary at Medalist, and playing a course at such high altitude will undoubtedly prompt him to talk about “hitting bombs.”

Rodgers shouldn’t be intimidated by the big stage. He’s a regular participant at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, having teamed with PGA Tour pro Max Homa to finish ninth there in 2020.

Rodgers shows a USGA handicap index of 4.6 while playing out of Green Bay Country Club, so, yeah, he knows how to golf his ball. Brady’s index is 8.1.

I would have to say I would stick with the favorites DeChambeau/Aaron Rodgers and lay the juice.

Check out the latest Match 4 golf odds.