The Open Championship Odds & Predictions


We missed out on the pageantry of The Open Championship last year when it became a COVID casualty. But it’s back in the rotation this year with the best players in the world vying for the Claret Jug starting Thursday from Royal St. George’s Golf Club in Kent, England.

Fresh off the first major championship of his career at last month’s U.S. Open where he was the betting favorite, Jon Rahm again tops the odds board in this who’s-who of golf’s elite. Rahm looks to pull off the rare feat of winning both majors in the same year.

Jon Rahm (+750) again tops the odds board in this who’s-who of golf’s elite.

With the tournament shuttered last year Shane Lowry enjoyed an extended run as defending champion. He can become the first player in over a decade to go back-to-back, though oddsmakers aren’t high on his chances. Instead it’s the usual cast of characters at the top of the odds list.

Rahm was the only player to hit the board with shorter than 10/1 odds with the next tier consisting of Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas.

When and Where to Watch The Open Championship

The Open Championship runs from June 15-18 at Royal St. George’s Golf Club in Kent, England. Parts of the tournament will be televised on both Golf Channel and NBC.

Odds to win The Open Championship

Jon Rahm +750

Brooks Koepka +1600

Rory McIlroy +1600

Dustin Johnson +1800

Xander Schauffele +1800

Jordan Spieth +2000

Justin Thomas +2000

Bryson DeChambeau +2500

Louis Oosthuizen +2500

Collin Morikawa +2800

Viktor Hovland +2800

Patrick Cantlay +3300

Tyrell Hatton +3500

Lee Westwood +4000

Matthew Fitzpatrick +4000

Patrick Reed +4000

Shane Lowry +4000

Tommy Fleetwood +4000

Paul Casey +4500

Scottie Scheffler +5000

Tony Finau +5500

(Odds provided by as of July 12, 2021)

Odds Analysis

Somebody had to be at the top of the odds board so why not put the winner of the most recent major in that spot. He’ll be pegging it up for the first time since the U.S. Open so the excitement of that win has to be tempered somewhat.

Rahm hit the board as a +750 favorite, the only player with shorter than 10/1 odds. The next level has six players at 20/1 or shorter odds including past Open winners Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth. McIlroy won this event in 2014 at Royal Liverpool while Spieth emerged victorious at Royal Birkdale in 2017.

Along with Rahm, three other major winners from this season will look to add to their trophy cases. Bryson DeChambeau won the U.S. Open at Winged Foot last September and Dustin Johnson won at Augusta in November. Phil Mickelson stunned everyone by capturing the PGA Championship just a few months ago and opened at +8000.

The Field

Since winning the U.S. Open and The Open Championship in the same year has been done only a handful of times it might be wise to steer clear of Rahm. Besides, is he completely recovered from winning his first major? Rahm was stoic at Torrey Pines dropping a few lengthy birdie putts in the final round to fend of Louis Oosthuizen. And it’s safe to say Rahm feels comfortable on the links-style courses so another win isn’t out of the question, I’m just not ready to bet on it.

Now that Rahm has a major championship I guess it’s safe to say Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau are the best players without a win in golf’s premiere events. They’ve both been close on several occasions with Finau grabbing a podium finish in 2019 at Royal Portrush. The X-man continues to be one of the most consistent players on Tour and he’s racked up six top-5s in 16 major starts. I keep saying he’s going to win a major sooner rather than later and it better happen soon.

The last two majors have been a contrast at the betting window. Mickelson was a 200/1 longshot to win the PGA Championship and Rahm was the betting favorite at the U.S. Open. That leaves us somewhere in the middle this week. Lefty dipped into the fountain of youth defying the odds at Kiawah Island.

He’s also one of a few players still around who competed at Royal St. George’s in 2011 when The Open was last played at the venue. Mickelson and DJ finished as co-runners-up that week and while Lefty might be the sentimental pick, Johnson is the smarter play.

Spieth has been on a nice roll for a few months finally awakening from the slumber that had him reeling for a few years. He has eight top-10s in his last 13 starts, including a win in the Texas Open. He overcame an opening 77 at Torrey Pines to finish among the top-20 and he won this event just a few years ago.

Our pick: Jordan Spieth +2000

The Open Prediction

Our pick: Jordan Spieth +2000

A lot of the field has to transition to a links course and Royal St. George’s can be devastating with its undulating surface and deep bunkers. I guess that’s why most of the golfers took a few extra weeks off to prepare. The majors bring out the best and we have another stacked field, and is typically the norm in these events we’ll see someone from near the top of the odds board emerge victorious that’s why I’m backing Spieth.

Check out all the available Open Championship golf odds.