Washington Redskins vs Atlanta Falcons Week 4 Predictions

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Coming off a road win over the Giants the Atlanta Falcons can even their record when they host the Washington Football Team in Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season. Barring a tie one of these teams will have a .500 record as we reach the quarter mark of the campaign. That means more to the team formerly known as the Redskins since their division remains weak.

The Redskins, err, Football Team won the NFC East with a 7-9 record last season, however their defense, which was supposed to be the team’s strength, has been anything but. Still, the team based in our nation’s capital hit the board as a 2-point road favorite on the NFL betting line.

The Week 4 matchup between the Washington Football Team and Atlanta Falcons will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 3, 2021 and will be televised on FOX.

The Week 4 matchup between the Washington Football Team and Atlanta Falcons will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 3, 2021 and will be televised on FOX.

Redskins vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

Washington -2 | Atlanta Falcons +2 [BET NOW]

Redskins vs Atlanta Falcons Money Line

Washington -127 | Atlanta Falcons +107 [BET NOW]

Redskins vs Atlanta Falcons Over/Under

Over/Under 48 [BET NOW]

Odds Analysis

Their first road game of the season didn’t go well with the Football Team getting whacked 43-21 in Buffalo last week as a 7.5-point dog dropping them to 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. So obviously the club opened as a slight favorite for the road tilt with Atlanta. Is that a sign that oddsmakers weren’t thrilled with the Falcon’s 17-14 win over the Giants last week?

Washington hasn’t done much to earn the favorite role and giving 2-points seems like a gift for the home team. Still, the guys who set the lines are a lot smarter me so I’ll go with it. The Falcons picked up their first win and cover with a walk-off field goal in the Meadowlands last week. The teams have struggled on both sides of the football early in the season so at least we should have a competitive game.

Washington Redskins Football Team

The Football Team isn’t going to win unless the defense starts playing near the level it did last season. Second in total defense and fourth in scoring defense last year, Washington was gouged for 481 yards in its 43-21 loss to Buffalo. Only Seattle allows more than the 432 yards per game WFT gives up and three teams concede more points than the 30.7 allowed. The good news on that front is the Falcons are one of the three so maybe the offense can cut loose.

A leaky defense has allowed opponents to go wild and the good ones have feasted. Josh Allen threw for 358 yards and four touchdowns and was rarely bothered. The Team failed to register a sack and has just six on the season. Last season they had 47 sacks led with Montez Sweat and Chase Young combining for 16.5. Young has yet to get a sack and Sweat has a pair. The lack of pressure is leaving the secondary out to dry and the Team is paying the price.

The team can’t rely on Taylor Heinicke to generate enough points to cover the defensive letdowns. Heinicke had a solid game to beat the Giants in Week 2, but he struggled against an aggressive Bills defense completing 14 of 24 for 212 yards with two interceptions.

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons broke into the win column thanks to their defense, which was a bit surprising since the group wasn’t all that good leading into the Giants game. But it was the Giants, a team that has issues scoring the football – unless they’re playing Washington. And that shows you just how bad the Team has been. The Giants scored more points against Washington than they did in their other two games combined.

We are far removed from the Falcons team that led the league in scoring in 2016. And while they weren’t bad in the previous four seasons they’ve hit a low this year. Matt Ryan is getting up there and he doesn’t have favorite receiver Julio Jones any longer. They are averaging only 218.7 passing yards and 301.3 total yards this season while scoring 16 points per game. They cashed the UNDER in two of three games so far.

The defense stiffened and Ryan showed he still has some magic left in his aging body. Ryan directed a 72-yard game-tying touchdown drive with just over four minutes remaining then after forcing a punt on New York’s next possession, he got the Falcons into field goal range for the game-winner. When the chips are down Ryan is guy who can get the job done. And he gives Atlanta a big advantage over the WFT.

Our Prediction: Atlanta Falcons +2 and UNDER 48

Redskins vs Falcons Prediction

After three outings where they’ve given up a lot of yards and points and have had trouble stopping opponents on third down, Washington’s defense is definitely a concern. It’s hard to imagine them suddenly flipping the switch. The good news is that Atlanta’s offense isn’t the best so better numbers are expected. But I’ve lost confidence in the Football Team and with Ryan having the edge over Heinicke at the most important position I’ll take the home team and the points.

Our Prediction: Atlanta Falcons +2 and UNDER 48

Check out the latest NFL Week 4 odds.