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Houston Astros vs New York Mets Predictions

A string of games in the Big Apple continues for the Houston Astros, who open a two-game interleague set with the New York Mets on Tuesday. The teams met last week in Texas with the Astros sweeping a pair of games starting a run of nine straight against the New York clubs.

Houston split a four-game weekend series with the Yankees in a battle between the top teams in the AL with both setbacks in walkoff form. Losers in four of seven over the last week, the Mets saw their lead in the NL East shrink. The Metropolitans were outscored 13-5 in losing two games in Houston in the first meetings between the clubs since 2017.

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Date & Time

This interleague matchup takes place on Tuesday, June 28, 2022 at 7:10 p.m. ET from Citi Field. The game will air live on TBS with betting options for every game on the 2022 MLB schedule available at

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Odds

Houston Astros (Check Back Later)

New York Mets (Check Back Later)

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Season So Far

The Astros have been a top team in MLB for years posting a full-season winning record six consecutive times while reaching the postseason in each of the past five seasons with three World Series trips and one title. That was a mouthful, but you get the idea. Even when the roster changes the results remain similar. Again the Astros are among the best sporting the second-best record in the AL winning 62.5 percent of their games. They went 4-2 in their previous six games against the best teams in each league sweeping two games from the Mets and splitting four with the Yankees.

Bolstered by a solid pitching staff the Astros tossed 16 consecutive no-hit innings against the Yankees and could’ve easily swept the series. They had some bullpen letdowns blowing a three-run lead in the ninth on Thursday and dropping the finale after holding a two-run edge in the eighth. “I feel good about the way we’re playing. I don’t feel great at the moment. You always think about what could have been. Easily could have been three out of four or possibly four,” Dusty Baker said after Sunday’s setback.

For the first time the Mets are feeling heat in the NL East. They’ve led the division for all but one day and were up by 10.5 games at the start of June. They missed out on sweeping the Marlins dropping Sunday’s tilt 3-2 dropping them to 12-10 over their previous 22 games. A majority of those games were on the road leaving the Mets hoping a return home can spark a run. They own the best home mark in the NL at 24-10.

The Mets are the second most profitable home team up $706 on the moneyline. They are also behind only the cross town Yankees as the second-best moneymaker overall. They are 13-2 in their last 15 games at Citi Field.

Probable Pitchers

Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.68 ERA) makes his second straight start against the Mets after picking up a win to even his record last week. He allowed three runs on six hits with five strikeouts over five innings. Though he’s won his last two starts Garcia hasn’t been as effective his past three outings giving up 16 hits and 10 earned over 15.1 innings for a 5.87 ERA. Garcia has pitched better on the road this season with a 2.37 ERA in 38 innings over seven starts.

The long ball has been an issue for Garcia conceding 12 homers in 71 innings. He had allowed five in three previous starts before keeping the Mets in the yard last time out. Opponents have to work against him. Garcia has given up 57 hits for a 1.07 WHIP.

Given his recent history against the Astros, you might expect the Mets to hold off on sending Carlos Carrasco (8-3, 4.42 ERA) to the bump. However, Carrasco is scheduled to start Tuesday after exiting his previous start with back tightness after 2.1 innings. He matched up with Garcia last week in Houston and was saddled with the loss giving up five runs on three homers. Over his last five starts against the Astros, Carrasco has an ERA of 6.37 giving up eight homers, 34 hits and 21 earned over 29.2 frames.

Astros vs Mets Predictions

The Mets have used homefield to their advantage this season owning the best mark in the NL. And Carrasco has been a big reason why. He’s 5-0 with his mates backing him with 33 runs in his last five starts at Citi Field. And you know Carrasco is aching for another chance against the Astros. As good as he’s been over his career, Houston has had his number.

You have to think the ‘Stros are a little drained after an emotional four-game series with the Yankees and the Mets are pretty darn good with an offense that can take advantage of a struggling Garcia and a pen that coughed up late leads twice at Yankee Stadium.

Prediction: New York Mets / OVER

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Jake Flynn
Jake Flynn
Senior writer for Writes NBA, NCAA basketball, MLB, UFC and daily fantasy sports articles.

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