There were a number of surprising upsets around the NFL last week with the Green Bay Packers being victimized by Washington as a 4-point road favorite. The loss was the Pack’s third straight and fourth in a row ATS. They are hoping to change the narrative as an 11-point road dog in the Week 8 Sunday Night Football contest against the Buffalo Bills. Coming off their bye the Bills look to continue their success having won three straight while going 7-0 SU and 4-1-2 ATS in the last seven years following their off week.
Packers vs Buffalo Bills Date, Time, Where To Watch
The Week 8 Sunday Night Football contest between the Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills will take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY at 8:20 p.m. ET on October 30, 2022 and will be televised on NBC.
Packers vs Buffalo Bills Odds
Green Bay Packers +11 ( +410 )
Buffalo Bills -11 ( -540 )
Over/Under 47.5
Odds Analysis
The Bills got a ton of support early in the week as the betting public watched the Packers stumble against the Commanders. Laying 8-points on the opening line that number shot up to Buffalo -11. The Bills are coming off a bye after dispatching Kansas City 24-20 in its most recent outing covering the 2.5-point spread for a second straight payout. Overall the Bills are 4-1-1 ATS this season. Green Bay is in an unfamiliar spot of being a big underdog. If the line holds it’ll mark the first time since late in the 2017 season that they get spotted double figures. They were the favorite in their last four games going 0-4 ATS.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers need to figure things out before it’s too late. They dropped their last three games and the offense just hasn’t been up to Aaron Rodgers-like standards. So, of course the discussion began about his future in Green Bay. Not only are the Packers a double-digit dog for the first time in five seasons they’re also staring at their first 4-game losing streak since 2016. At least during that slump they were able to score points. During the current skid the points per game are at 17.7 and overall the Packers rank 23rd scoring 18.3 points.
With injuries ravaging the receiver group Rodgers has been unable to find any chemistry on the field. The departure of Davante Adams looks more and more like an issue. Leading receiver Allen Lazard will likely miss another game with a shoulder injury and Randall Cobb is out indefinitely. Sammy Watkins returned last week with a pair of catches and he should aid the passing game moving forward. What really hurt against the team formerly known as the Redskins was the inability to run the football. They totaled just 38 yards on 12 carries and managed 232 yards for the game while failing to convert on six third-down opportunities.
Buffalo Bills
The Bills closed as a double digit home favorite nine times since Josh Allen became the starter and they’ve yet to lose SU going 6-1-2 ATS. In fact it happened in both games this season with Buffalo earning payouts in wins over Pittsburgh and Tennessee outscoring them 79-10. Couple that display with Green Bay’s recent woes and it’s easy to see why the public is backing Buffalo. Allen is putting together another fine season that has him as the current favorite to win MVP honors. However, I think Allen is more interested in getting his club further in the playoffs and to the Super Bowl.
Allen has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards with 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions with an additional 257 yards and two scores on the ground. Despite their average running game the Bills lead the NFL in total offense averaging nearly 441 yards while ranking second with 29.3 points per game. It’s not all about offense, though. The Bills lead the league in several defensive categories, including yards allowed and points allowed that’s led them to cashing the UNDER in four straight games and five of six for the season.
Packers vs Bills Prediction
Just when you think you have the NFL figured out something happens that makes you realize you don’t. We certainly didn’t expect the Panthers as a 13-point underdog to rise from the dead and beat Tampa Bay last week. It shows that anything can happen. We heard about a fired up Rodgers during the week addressing his teammates and the team’s current situation. And when the veteran speaks others tend to listen. The Packers aren’t bad they’re just going through a tough stretch and I expect Rodgers will lead by example on Sunday night. I’m backing the points and looking at the moneyline where the Pack is +410.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers +11 and UNDER 47.5
