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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Predictions

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees have gotten quite familiar with each other over the last week heating up one of the best rivalries in sports. The Sox took the final two games of a four-game set last weekend. The clubs lock horns again before the All-Star break with Saturday’s tilt on FOX the middle of three-game series.

Unfortunately the Sox couldn’t continue the momentum from those wins dropping the next three against Tampa to fall to 11-23 against AL East opponents. Boston’s Nick Pivetta is scheduled to take the bump against Jameson Taillon in a matchup we saw Sunday when both struggled in a game the Sox rallied to win 11-6.

Red Sox vs Yankees Date & Time

The AL East matchup between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees takes place on Saturday, July 16, 2022 at 7:15 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. The game will air live on FOX with betting options for every game on the 2022 MLB schedule available at

Red Sox vs Yankees Odds

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New York Yankees (Check Back Later)

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Season So Far…

It’s unlikely the Sox or any other team in the division catches the Yankees, but that doesn’t mean the postseason is out of the question.  A strong June that saw the Sox go 20-6 lifted them into a wild card spot, however, they failed to maintain that strong play once the calendar flipped to July losing three in a row to Tampa Bay falling to 4-9 to start the month. They have the worst record within the division and open the second half with a series against Toronto giving them 17 straight games against AL East foes.

With the Sox trending in the wrong direction the All-Star break comes at a good time. The pitching staff is decimated by injuries and the offense that produced 17 runs in a pair of wins over the Yankees last weekend withered scoring three runs combined in a pair of losses to the Rays. They’ve been able to score against one of the best staffs in baseball, though, averaging nearly 5.5 runs in the first seven games with New York with the OVER going 5-2.

Losing the last two games in Boston last weekend led to the Yanks matching a season-high losing streak with their stout bullpen suffering a few meltdowns. They blew two late leads in a 6-5 loss to the Sox and Clay Holmes was erratic giving up four runs in the ninth inning in a 4-3 loss to the Reds. Turning to the highest scoring offense to cover for the deficiencies, the Yanks ended their slide at three with a 7-6 win on Wednesday improving to 62-26 and an MLB best 35-10 at home.

Playing as the favorite in most of their games, the Yanks have been able to turn a big profit thanks to winning over 70 percent of their games. They are the second most profitable team in MLB up over $1,100 on the moneyline. With the pitching staff giving up a few more runs over the last week the Yanks are 7-1 against the OVER in their last eight contests.

Probable Pitchers

The Sox cruised through June thanks in large part to a pitching staff led by Nick Pivetta (8-6, 4.08 ERA). However, just like the rest of the team Pivetta has struggled to find the form this month. He lasted only 3.1 innings last week giving up eight hits and six runs with a pair of homers. The Sox were trailing when he exited, but they scored the final nine runs to complete the comeback taking Pivetta off the hook. He can’t expect production like that every start so he needs to pitch better than he has in his last two starts. Pivetta surrendered seven runs in 5.1 innings to Tampa on July 5 and has pitched to a 13.00 ERA and 2.22 WHIP over nine innings. He started in Yankee Stadium in April yielding four runs on four hits in a 4-2 loss. He gave up two homers in each of his two starts against the Yankees accounting for one-third of his season total.

Jameson Taillon (9-2, 4.01 ERA) leads the Yankees in wins but he also has the highest ERA and WHIP among the usual group of starters. And he’s also looking to iron out the kinks in his performance. Staked to a 6-2 lead last week he couldn’t hold it giving up six runs and seven hits, including three homers, and eventually exited with the game tied. After seeing his ERA drop to a season low last month, Taillon watched the number go up by more than a run thanks to four subpar outings. He yielded 30 hits and 20 runs in 21 innings over his last four starts while tossing up seven homers, one more than he allowed in his first 73 innings pitched.

Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions

The way the starters are trending we could see plenty of runs scored on Saturday. The Yankees lead MLB in runs per game and homers and they are nearly unbeatable at Yankee Stadium. The Sox aren’t too shabby, but haven’t had much success against division foes and on the road, making me feel good about backing the home team.

Our Prediction: New York Yankees / OVER

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Jake Flynn
Jake Flynn
Senior writer for Writes NBA, NCAA basketball, MLB, UFC and daily fantasy sports articles.

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