NFL Week 11 – Top Underdog Picks


There were some notable wins by the underdogs in the most recent slate of NFL games, and many others at least covered the spread without coming away with the victory. The Week 11 schedule is an interesting one, and the underdogs would love to follow in those footsteps and make some more upset bids.


The top teams in the NFL are making their playoff push and would love to hold off their opponents, as many will be favored. However, underdogs always tend to be intriguing plays in the NFL and the Week 11 group will be no exception. Here are some of the most promising underdog plays of the week:

Chicago Bears (-3) vs Minnesota Vikings

The Pick: Vikings +3 or +130

The Chicago Bears have taken a huge step forward this season and are now atop the NFC North more than midway through the season. The Minnesota Vikings aren’t far behind and are hoping to live up to the billing of preseason favorites. Chicago is at home in this matchup and has been pegged as the 3-point favorite. It is a lot of respect given by the oddsmakers, and while the Bears have looked good lately, Minnesota has the experience needed for this big-time showdown. The Vikings are the pick not only to cover the spread but to pull off the upset as the +130 underdogs on the moneyline.

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints (-9)

The Pick: Eagles +9

The Philadelphia Eagles are hitting the road against the New Orleans Saints, who are employing an offense that looks unstoppable. The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles have not put it together this season and now have their backs against the wall. The Saints are large 9-point home favorites as the Eagles are going to have a tough time defending the pass. Even so, Philly’s offense should make some plays of its own. The Eagles are the choice to keep this one closer than expected and cover the spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers (-6)

The Pick: Jaguars +6 or +211

The wheels have fallen off for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have lost five consecutive games after making it to the AFC Championship game a season ago. They lost on the road last week against the Colts and now face a must-win home game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jaguars are 6-point home underdogs, a spread that would have been unexpected when the year began. Jacksonville has been having issues, but look for it to finally put together a good performance. The cover is the safe play, but also consider the Jaguars at +211 to pull off the upset on the moneyline.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs

The Pick: Chiefs +3.5

The best underdog choice is also in the biggest game of the week. The Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs are tied for the best record in the NFL and will face off in a possible Super Bowl preview. The game was supposed to be played in México City, but poor field conditions moved it back to the Los Angeles Coliseum. That is a bonus for the Rams, who no longer have to play at a neutral site and now get this one at home.

The oddsmakers have pegged the Rams the slightly superior team, and they are 3.5-point favorites. The Chiefs’ defense is not very good and it’s easy to understand why the Rams are the favorite. The Rams should have a big day on the ground, but Kansas City’s offense is better and should make this a back-and-forth affair. This spread is too large as the Chiefs have the most dynamic offense in the NFL and can put up points against anyone.

Kansas City is the pick to capture this road upset of the Rams, although it should be close. The spread is a good place to start, and when the moneyline is released jumped on the favorable odds of the Chiefs.

Check out the latest NFL Week 11 betting odds.

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