Packers vs Bears Odds and Predictions

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Packers and Bears Renew Ancient Rivalry for NBC Sunday Night!

The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers have a special place in pro football history.  That is because the Bears and Packers own the NFL’s oldest rivalry.  Many of the greatest names in football took part in this classic series.  Bears founder, player, owner, general manager and coach George Halas along with Packers legendary coach Vince Lombardi are on the NFL’s Mount Rushmore.  But from that point their differences begin.  Green Bay is a perennial NFL odds favorite and Super Bowl contender.  While Chicago muddles around mediocrity most seasons.  Defensively the Bears remain one of pro football’s best.  However, on offense they are a disaster.  Chicago coach Matt Nagy arrived with strong offensive credentials.  His potential firing will be due to his inability to fix the Bears hibernating attack and develop a quarterback.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

When:  Sunday, November 29, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET

Where:  Lambeau Field, Green Bay Wisconsin

TV:  NBC

Bears vs Packers Odds:

Chicago Bears +8.5

Green Bay Packers -8.5

Over/Under 45

(Source: BookMaker.eu)

For Sunday night’s matchup squares will flock to the home chalk Packers and Aaron Rodgers, which fits their comfort zone.  Oddsmakers are fully aware of this, however.  By contrast sharps will give a hard look at the Bears.  That is because this rivalry and the 8.5-points could mean enhanced value with the sportsbook odds.

Bears Offense Drags Down Playoff Potential

The Bears have lost four in a row with only one payout.  Chicago’s lack of offense has made them a Super Bowl betting longshot.  Chicago is 5-5 straight up and against the spread, with 3-7 under the total.  Overall, the Bears rank 31st both for total offense and for scoring while defensively Chicago is 9th in the NFL and 6th for points allowed.

Last time out the Bears lost to Minnesota 19-13 as 3.5-point Monday Night home dogs as under the total of 44.5 paid as well.  Chicago was outgained 385 to 149 in total yards and quarterback Nick Foles could manage only 106 yards passing.  Foles is likely to play Sunday despite a hip injury and ineffectiveness.

Packers Popularity Becoming a Drag on Their Value  

Green Bay did not live up to its Super Bowl aspirations last Sunday at Indianapolis as they blew a 28-14 halftime lead in a 34-31 overtime loss.  Four Green Bay turnovers proved to be the difference along with the Packers inability to run the ball.  As a result, the Packers are 7-3 straight up, 6-4 vs. the odds, and 6-4 over the total.  Green Bay ranks 7th for total offense and 3rd for scoring.  Defensively the Packers rank 12th in the NFL and 17th for points allowed.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers ATS

Chicago is 21-22 against the spread in all games.  While on the road the Bears are 9-11 vs. the line.  Against NFC North rivals Chicago is 19-14 with the odds.  And as dogs the Bears are 10-9 with the number.  Overall, the Bears are 17-26 under the total.  On the road they’re 9-11 to the under.  Against the NFC North Chicago is 6-8 under the total.  And as dogs they’re 6-13 to the under.

To summarize Green Bay is 23-20-1 against the spread.  The Packers are 12-9 vs. the line at home.  Against NFC North rivals Green Bay is 7-8 on the board.  And as chalk the Pack is 16-13 vs. the odds.  Green Bay is 22-22 over and under in all games.  While at Lambeau Field they’re 10-11 to the under. Against the NFC North the Packers are 6-9 under the total.  Specifically, as chalk the Pack is 14-15 under the number.

Green Bay has gotten the cash in four of their last six against Chicago as the last three meetings between these teams stayed under.  At Lambeau Field the Bears are 2-4 on the board as three of the last five in this rivalry at Green Bay have gone under.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

Best Bet:  Chicago Bears +8.5

In this situation expect Chicago to circle the wagons and go all out to save their season.  The Bears will have no problem focusing for hated Green Bay