UFC Odds: Good ‘Dog/Bad ‘Dog – Betting the Biggest Upcoming Fights

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Alright fight bettors, we’ve got a week off before the next UFC event – time to peruse the sportsbook and pick out some favorable odds. Right now, there are handful of upcoming fights you can bet on, taking you all the way to UFC Fight Night 122 on November 25.

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The options you’ve got are all main events or major fights, so there will be plenty of big names to consider here. Any good sports bettor knows that placing a bet early can protect you from future odds movement triggered by the flood of fight week bets.

So let’s get into it: we’re looking at every upcoming fight that has UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and picking good ‘dogs and bad ‘dogs in each.


UFC 216, October 7

Kevin Lee +180 vs. Tony Ferguson -240

Good ‘Dog: Kevin Lee

I know that Ferguson is a wildman on a nine-fight winning streak in a loaded lightweight division. But did you see how easily Lee beasted through Michael Chiesa? It took him less than a round to overpower him and roll up a top-10 submission grappler. “The Motown Phenom” is flying under the radar right now, and although I think Ferguson is the likely winner here, Lee has got the style to suffocate “El Cucuy’s” Tasmanian devil offense.


UFC 217, November 4

Georges St. Pierre -140 vs. Michael Bisping +120

Jorge Masvidal +105 vs. Stephen Thompson -135

Cody Garbrandt -135 vs. T.J. Dillashaw +115

 

Good ‘Dog: Michael Bisping

I really don’t get why GSP is the favorite here – Mr. “I’m Not Impressed” hasn’t fought in over four years and is in an bad style matchup. Bisping might be considered a “beatable” fighter, but his size and takedown defense should neutralize St. Pierre’s wrestling, and he’s more than comfortable in a boxing match. This will likely shift towards pick’em odds during fight week, so strike while you can.

Bad ‘Dog: Jorge Masvidal

He’s only a slight underdog, but we’ve got to face “Gamebred” based on the matchup. Though the ATT product has punked good strikers before – like “Cowboy” Cerrone – Thompson is a different type of kickboxer. In a five-rounder, Masvidal might have a better chance of figuring out Wonderboy’s creative style. But his tendency to cruise will hurt him against a rangy, high volume striker like Thompson.

Decent ‘Dog: T.J. Dillashaw

Dillashaw is not Dominick Cruz, no matter how similar their styles might seem. The Alpha Male nemesis is a better athlete and overall wrestler. Plus, Garbrandt is recovering from a back injury – and anybody who follows any sport knows how much those can screw up an athlete’s career. The champ elevated his game to otherworldly levels against Cruz, but that was the first time we’ve ever seen that from him. Dillashaw’s been doing it for longer.


UFC Fight Night 120, November 11

Anthony Pettis -125 vs. Dustin Poirier -105

Bad ‘Dog: Dustin Poirier

The thing with “The Diamond” is that he’ll go through stretches where he looks like a title contender, then get dusted in the “prove it” matchups. Pettis isn’t a title contender right now, but he’s just a couple years removed from being the champ. Poirier’s wrestling isn’t good enough to grind Pettis down, and getting into a kickboxing match with “Showtime” is never a good idea.


UFC Fight Night 121: Hunt vs. Tybura

Marcin Tybura +125 vs. Mark Hunt -155

Good ‘Dog: Marcin Tybura

Mark Hunt is a one-dimensional knockout artist. That doesn’t mean he’s a bad fighter, but he historically struggles against athletic guys who can strike and wrestle. Tybura is no Stipe Miocic, but he’s comfortable in the pocket and switches levels well. Mark Hunt could be entering the Roy Nelson stage of his career, where all he does is try and walk down guys and turn out the lights. Tybura is quick enough to avoid that.


UFC Fight Night 122, November 25

Anderson Silva +180 vs. Kelvin Gastelum -240

Hot ‘Dog: Anderson Silva

Hear me out. Silva might be old, but we still see flashes of the destroyer that terrorized the middleweight division for the better part of a decade. And Gastelum is precisely the type of aggressive boxer that “The Spider” thrives against. The former champ is at his best when he’s reacting to an opponent’s offense, and accuracy is one of the last things to go as fighters age.

Check out the latest UFC betting odds on our UFC Odds Comparison page.

1 COMMENT

  1. Well written. A lot of interesting fights in here. Here are my basic opinions before digging too deep:
    -Ferguson finishes Lee and is playable. Lee has shown durability issues and Ferguson is the perfect mix of cardio machine and pressure fighter. (I parlayed Ferguson with Kim from UFC Japan)
    -Bisping a nice play as a surprising underdog. Too much uncertainty with GSP (time off, weight class) and as you said fairly bad match-up.
    -Masvidal feels like a play at +130. Very well rounded. I think he might get a sub here but this one is close.
    -TJ was my pick when this was first booked but I’m having second thoughts. Either TJ or a no bet for now.
    -Pettis a solid play, like the match up and odds.
    -Gastelum by KO. Silva’s chin doesnt have much left. Even if not I don’t see him KO’ing KG or winning a decision.

    Best of Luck

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