After decisive wins by Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump in New Hampshire, online bookmakers were quick to adjust their US Presidential Election odds. Sanders’ odds of becoming the US President went from +1215 back in January to +650 today, a noticeable improvement of over 50 percent. While Donald Trump’s odds of becoming US President went from +666 (insert joke here) back in January to +450 today, an improvement of over 30 percent.
Unexpected Development in New Hampshire
The two GOP governors who surprised many in New Hampshire — Ohio’s John Kasich, who came in second, and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, who placed fourth — caused the biggest adjustments to bookmakers’ odds. Kasich’s odds of becoming US President went from a long shot +14913 back in January to only +3000 today. That’s an improvement of almost 80 percent. While Bush’s odds also improved going from +1944 back in January to +1300 today, an improvement of 33 percent.
February Political Betting Update: Who not to Bet on
The biggest loser was Republican businesswoman Carly Fiorina who’s odds of becoming US President went from an already very unlikely +22500 back in January to +100000 today, a drop of over 300 percent. While neurosurgeon Ben Carson went from +13500 in January to +50000 today, a drop of over 270 percent. The biggest surprise is the addition of former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg by oddsmakers at +3000 even though he has yet to announce his decision to run.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz — the winner in last week’s Iowa caucuses — was third in the GOP primary with 11.7 percent. As a result, his odds of becoming US President, according to the top betting sites, went from +819 back in January to +1400 today, a drop of over 70 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio came in fifth, with 10.5 percent, and bookmakers adjusted his odds from +558 to +800, a drop of over 40 percent.
On the other side, Sanders defeated Clinton by the widest margin in the history of New Hampshire primaries, garnering 60 percent compared to her 34.2 percent. This resulted in the best betting websites dropping her odds of becoming US President from -175 back in January to -135 today, a drop of almost 23 percent. Clinton, however, remains the favorite by bookmakers.
See the latest odds below, courtesy of Bookmaker.eu:
2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ODDS – PRESIDENT ELECTED
HILLARY CLINTON -175 (Jan) -135 (today) -23% (change)
JEB BUSH +1944 +1300 +33%
DONALD TRUMP +666 +450 +30%
MARCO RUBIO +558 +800 -40%
BERNIE SANDERS +1215 +650 +50%
CARLY FIORINA +22500 +100000 -300%
BEN CARSON +13500 +50000 -270%
JOHN KASICH +14913 +3000 +80%
TED CRUZ + 819 +1400 -70%
MICHAEL BLOOMBERG +3000
2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ODDS -WINNING PARTY
REPUBLICANS +142 (Jan) +139 (today)
DEMOCRATS -177 -159
ANY OTHER PARTY +4069 +3305
According to the top bookmakers, the 2016 US Presidential Election Winning Party will be the Democrats, who are the favorite at -159, but that’s down from -177 back in January – a drop of over 10 percent.
For more political odds, election poll results and other presidential candidate news visit our US Presidential Election Odds section.