It’s been a bad start to the NFL season for me. I am now 1-5 ATS on the year after using all three of my plays last week, and none of the three plays were even close. I was a fool to think Miami would keep it within the number against New England, and the over in Oakland-Kansas City didn’t come close to cashing. However, neither one of those plays was my worst of the week. Cincinnati seemed like a great play, and the sharps seemed to believe that too with the Bengals closing as a favorite. Unfortunately, the Bengals were hammered 41-17 by San Francisco.
Week 1: 1-2 ATS
Week 2: 0-3 ATS
Overall: 1-5 ATS
NFL Week 3 Consensus Picks
?WEEK 3 #NFL Games With BIG Name Injuries?
— Official Bookmaker (@bookmaker_eu) September 17, 2019
NFL Week 3 Best Bets (Sunday, September 15)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5 O/U 48) vs New York Giants
The pick: UNDER 48
With Daniel Jones making the first start of his career, I believed this total would be much lower. Jones was considered a major reach when the Giants drafted him at No. 6 overall, and he is very raw. He has thrown just four passes in the Giants’ first two games, and this team is bereft of any options at the skill positions aside from Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram.
Tampa Bay’s defense has been very good. Todd Bowles has totally revamped this unit, and the Buccaneers enter this game ranked eighth in the NFL in total defense. Neither San Francisco nor Carolina could move the ball against this team, and both Jimmy Garoppolo and Cam Newton are better quarterbacks then Jones.
On the others side of the ball, the Giants defense has struggled. They gave up 35 points to Dallas and 28 points to Buffalo, but Jameis Winston continues to underwhelm. Winston is missing open receivers like we have seen throughout his career, and his shoddy decision making will short circuit more than one chance. Tampa Bay’s running game is not good either, so the Bucs won’t have the same success that the Bills and the Cowboys did on the ground.
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs. Detroit Lions
The pick: Eagles -6.5
Lincoln Financial Field is one of the most difficult places to play in the NFL, and the Detroit Lions typically don’t fare well away from home. Detroit went 3-5 on the road last season, and those wins were against Miami, Arizona, and a Green Bay team that had already packed it in for Week 17.
Philadelphia is one of the five best teams in the NFL, and the Eagles will want to prove themselves after a disappointing loss on Sunday night to Atlanta. Their offense has yet to click in the first half, but an underwhelming Detroit defense should be a remedy to those woes.
The Lions are going to find it tough to score on the Eagles too. Philadelphia has one of the best defensive lines in the league, and they can stop the run and make Detroit’s offense one-dimensional. While Philly’s secondary isn’t great, I believe they can step up and stop Matt Stafford.
Chicago Bears -3.5 at Washington Redskins
The pick: Bears -3.5
If the Bears end up losing this game outright, I get what I deserve. Chicago’s offense has regressed this season, but Mitchell Trubisky is not as bad as he has seemed through the first two games of the year. Trubisky was a Pro Bowl quarterback last year, and he has good receivers in Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller.
Chicago has the best defense in the league too. The Bears have allowed just 24 points in two games, and Roquan Smith has been superb. Last year’s first round pick has been a terror at inside linebacker, racking up loads of tackles and making it difficult to run on this front seven.
As for Washington, this team has an abysmal home field advantage, and it’s an open secret that Jay Gruden will be let go at the end of the season. Washington has allowed over 30 points in both of their games thus far this season, and offenses have been able to move the ball on the ground or through the air.
Check out the latest NFL Week 3 betting odds.