It took us three weeks, but we finally had a winning week against the spread. Our week 3 picks went a profitable 9-7. This week, we’re back at it again. Every week, bettors and bookmakers learn more about each team, the lines get tighter and more difficult to beat. But that’s not going to stop us from trying again for Week 4.
Take a look below at our picks this week. All odds are provided by Bookmaker.eu.
LAST WEEK: 9-7
Byes: Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins,
Minnesota Vikings (+7) at Los Angeles Rams
Our pick: Vikings +7
Why?: The Vikings fell apart against the Bills last weekend we think because they were too busy preparing to play the Rams on a short week. Take the Vikings and the points.
Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Our pick: Bengals +5.5
Why?: The Falcons defense will be playing without two safeties and a linebacker. Even though Atlanta’s offense is strong, the Bengals should be able to keep it close. Take the points here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-3)
Our pick: Bears -3
Why?: You don’t want to lay points with Mitch Trubisky, but this is the best defense that the Buccaneers have faced so far this season. Ryan Fitzpatrick showed glimpses of his old self last week before bouncing back in the second half, but Khalil Mack is too much to handle. Take the Bears to cover the spread.
Detroit Lions (+3) at Dallas Cowboys
Our pick: Lions +3
Why?: It will be a tough road game for the Lions, but they got to win to keep pace with the NFC North. Dallas has not been impressive so far this season. Take the Lions and the points.
Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)
Our pick: Packers -9.5
Why?: Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been very impressive the past two weeks, but the Packers are at home and should be able to beat the Bills. Its a lot of points, but we are going to lay them.
Philadelphia Eagles (-4) at Tennessee Titans
Our pick: Eagles -4
Why?: We don’t like betting against a home underdog, but Marcus Mariota is still dealing with an elbow injury that might make some throws difficult and the Eagles have Carson Wentz back under center.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-1)
Our pick: Colts -1
Why?: The Colts took the Super Bowl champions to the brink last weekend, and are still looking for their first home win since the return of Andrew Luck. The Texans look lost. Take the colts.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-6.5)
Our pick: Patriots -6.5
Why?: The Patriots might not be the same team this year, but we’re betting that Bill Belichick won’t lose three straight games. The 3-0 Dolphins feel due for a slump. Take the Pats.
New York Jets (+7.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Our pick: Jaguars -7.5
Why?: Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold is facing off against the best secondary in football. I do not expect it to go well. Take the Jaguars to cover the spread.
Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (-2.5)
Our pick: Raiders -2.5
Why?: The Cleveland Browns won their first game in two years on Thursday behind a brilliant effort from rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield, but winning two in a row feels like a big ask. Jon Gruden and his $100 million contract have to get a win at some point right? Take the Raiders to cover.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+3)
Our pick: Cardinals +3
Why?: Josh Rosen is a big unknown. When in doubt, take the home dog.
New Orleans Saints (-3.5) at New York Giants
Our pick: Giants +3.5
Why?: The Giants finally played up to their potential last week, and hopefully can keep it going at home. The Saints are coming off an overtime win against a division opponent, and playing their first outdoor game of the year. Take the points here.
San Francisco 49ers (-10) at Los Angeles Chargers
Our pick: Chargers -10
Why?: Laying 10 points with Philip Rivers isn’t ideal, but how many points can the 49ers offense manage with CJ Beathard coaching? Take the Chargers to cover.
Baltimore Ravens (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Our pick: Ravens +3
Why?: These AFC North divisional games always end up to be close. We like the Ravens.